Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 17/10, 20:45
Prediction: Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk
Team pages: Sligo Rovers · Dundalk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
Sligo Rovers1.71
Dundalk1.49
1X2
Sligo Rovers
Draw
Dundalk
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Sligo Rovers
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Dundalk
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sligo Rovers
3–1–2
Dundalk
(6 last)
- Dundalk1-1Sligo Rovers
- Sligo Rovers2-0Dundalk
- Dundalk1-0Sligo Rovers
- Dundalk0-2Sligo Rovers
- Sligo Rovers2-1Dundalk
- Dundalk1-0Sligo Rovers
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sligo Rovers: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sligo Rovers | Dundalk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.2 | 1.3 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.3 | 2.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sligo Rovers 3–1–2 Dundalk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Dundalk | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sligo Rovers |
| 25/04/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Sligo Rovers | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dundalk |
| 16/03/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Dundalk | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sligo Rovers |
| 18/07/25 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup | Dundalk | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Sligo Rovers |
| 21/09/24 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Sligo Rovers | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Dundalk |
| 13/06/24 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Dundalk | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sligo Rovers |
Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 52 | 32 | 62 |
| 2 | St Patricks | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 25 | 59 |
| 3 | Bohemians Dublin | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 38 | 59 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 47 | 46 | 43 |
| 5 | Derry City | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 41 |
| 6 | Dundalk | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 55 | 41 |
| 7 | Galway United | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 48 | 38 |
| 8 | Waterford FC | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 54 | 34 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 39 | 54 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | 59 | 23 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sligo Rovers | Dundalk |
|---|---|---|
| Shelbourne | 1-5 L | 2-3 L |
| St Patricks | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| Galway United | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Drogheda United | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Bohemians Dublin | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Waterford FC | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Dundalk (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sligo Rovers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-5 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/09 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 28/08 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 07/08 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 31/07 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
Dundalk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 14/09 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 28/08 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 07/08 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 31/07 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 24/07 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 10/07 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sligo Rovers win (42%). Probabilities: Sligo Rovers 42%, draw 25%, Dundalk 33%.
How many goals are expected in Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?
The model expects 3.2 goals (Sligo Rovers 1.71 · Dundalk 1.49), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.