Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 12/10, 21:00

Prediction: Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians Dublin

Team pages: Shamrock Rovers · Bohemians Dublin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

Shamrock Rovers1.76

Bohemians Dublin1.47

1X2

43% 26% 31%

Shamrock Rovers Draw Bohemians Dublin

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Shamrock Rovers 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDWDDLWW

Bohemians Dublin 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Shamrock Rovers 3–3 Bohemians Dublin (6 last)

Bohemians Dublin1-2Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers2-1Bohemians Dublin
Bohemians Dublin3-2Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers2-1Bohemians Dublin
Bohemians Dublin2-0Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers2-3Bohemians Dublin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shamrock Rovers 1539 · Bohemians Dublin 1575

	Shamrock Rovers	Draw	Bohemians Dublin
Our model	43%	25%	31%
Market	43%	27%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shamrock Rovers	Bohemians Dublin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.3	2.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.8	2 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.40

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.60
2	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.33 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3% Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:13 +4’	2.15	3.40	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:16 +100’	2.06	3.61	3.40
22:11 +128’	2.09▲	3.60▼	3.33▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shamrock Rovers 3–0–3 Bohemians Dublin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Bohemians Dublin	1-2 HT 1-0	Shamrock Rovers
17/04/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Shamrock Rovers	2-1 HT 2-0	Bohemians Dublin
27/02/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Bohemians Dublin	3-2 HT 1-0	Shamrock Rovers
26/09/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Shamrock Rovers	2-1 HT 1-1	Bohemians Dublin
23/06/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Bohemians Dublin	2-0 HT 2-0	Shamrock Rovers
21/04/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Shamrock Rovers	2-3 HT 2-0	Bohemians Dublin

Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	32	18	8	6	52	32	62
2	St Patricks	32	17	8	7	52	25	59
3	Bohemians Dublin	32	17	8	7	57	38	59
4	Shelbourne	33	10	13	10	47	46	43
5	Derry City	32	9	14	9	45	42	41
6	Dundalk	33	10	11	12	50	55	41
7	Galway United	32	9	11	12	42	48	38
8	Waterford FC	32	7	13	12	44	54	34
9	Drogheda United	33	8	10	15	39	54	34
10	Sligo Rovers	33	5	8	20	25	59	23

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shamrock Rovers	Bohemians Dublin
Drogheda United	3-1 W	2-1 W
Waterford FC	3-2 W	1-3 L
St Patricks	0-2 L	2-0 W
Shelbourne	0-0 D	3-0 W
Derry City	3-3 D	5-3 W
Dundalk	3-2 W	2-1 W
Sligo Rovers	2-1 W	3-0 W
Galway United	3-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bohemians Dublin (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shamrock Rovers

DWWDWDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/10	Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	3-0	3-1	6	3	W
18/09	Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	3-2	7	7	W
11/09	St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-2	0-2	6	3	L
04/09	Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
30/08	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-3	3-3	5	6	D
07/08	Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division	3-2	3-2	1	8	W
31/07	Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
03/07	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	2-1	3	6	W
26/06	Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	2-0	3-1	2	1	W
22/06	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	1-1	6	7	D

Bohemians Dublin

WWWDLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
18/09	Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	2-1	11	1	W
11/09	Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	3-2	9	5	W
28/08	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	3-0	3-0	5	3	W
21/08	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	5-3	8	3	W
09/08	Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-3	1-3	7	3	L
02/08	Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-1	1-1	11	5	D
03/07	Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
26/06	St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
22/06	Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division	2-0	3-0	5	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians Dublin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shamrock Rovers win (43%). Probabilities: Shamrock Rovers 43%, draw 26%, Bohemians Dublin 31%.

How many goals are expected in Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians Dublin?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Shamrock Rovers 1.76 · Bohemians Dublin 1.47), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians Dublin?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.