Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 16/10, 20:45

Prediction: Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers

Team pages: Galway United · Shamrock Rovers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Galway United1.3

Shamrock Rovers1.44

1X2

33% 28% 39%

Galway United Draw Shamrock Rovers

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Galway United 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDDDWDLWLD

Shamrock Rovers 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDWDDLWW

Head-to-head

Galway United 0–2–4 Shamrock Rovers (6 last)

Shamrock Rovers3-1Galway United
Galway United1-3Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers2-0Galway United
Shamrock Rovers1-0Galway United
Galway United0-0Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers0-0Galway United

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shamrock Rovers (rating 1465 vs 1542).
H2H favours Shamrock Rovers: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Galway United	Shamrock Rovers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	1.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.9 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.7	2.4 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0	5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.87

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:29

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.26▲	Pinn 4.26
X	3.77 → 3.82▲	Pinn 3.82
2	1.76 → 1.77▲	Pinn 1.77

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:11 +27’	4.20	3.77	1.76
22:13 +16’	4.26▲	3.82▲	1.77▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Galway United 0–2–4 Shamrock Rovers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/06/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Shamrock Rovers	3-1 HT 2-0	Galway United
08/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Galway United	1-3 HT 0-2	Shamrock Rovers
20/03/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Shamrock Rovers	2-0 HT 1-0	Galway United
29/10/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Shamrock Rovers	1-0 HT 0-0	Galway United
10/08/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Galway United	0-0 HT 0-0	Shamrock Rovers
30/05/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Shamrock Rovers	0-0 HT 0-0	Galway United

Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	32	18	8	6	52	32	62
2	St Patricks	32	17	8	7	52	25	59
3	Bohemians Dublin	32	17	8	7	57	38	59
4	Shelbourne	33	10	13	10	47	46	43
5	Derry City	32	9	14	9	45	42	41
6	Dundalk	33	10	11	12	50	55	41
7	Galway United	32	9	11	12	42	48	38
8	Waterford FC	32	7	13	12	44	54	34
9	Drogheda United	33	8	10	15	39	54	34
10	Sligo Rovers	33	5	8	20	25	59	23

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Galway United	Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne	1-1 D	0-0 D
Derry City	0-1 L	3-3 D
Sligo Rovers	3-1 W	2-1 W
Dundalk	2-1 W	3-2 W
Drogheda United	0-0 D	3-1 W
Waterford FC	0-0 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Shamrock Rovers (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Galway United

WDDDWDLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
18/09	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
14/09	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	2-1	3-1	4	4	W
11/09	Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	2-3	1	5	L
28/08	Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	1-1	4	7	D
21/08	Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	2-1	0	5	W
07/08	Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
02/08	Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
25/07	Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
11/07	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	3-2	6	4	W

Shamrock Rovers

DWWDWDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/10	Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	3-0	3-1	6	3	W
18/09	Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	3-2	7	7	W
11/09	St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-2	0-2	6	3	L
04/09	Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
30/08	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-3	3-3	5	6	D
07/08	Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division	3-2	3-2	1	8	W
31/07	Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
03/07	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	2-1	3	6	W
26/06	Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	2-0	3-1	2	1	W
22/06	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	1-1	6	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shamrock Rovers win (39%). Probabilities: Galway United 33%, draw 28%, Shamrock Rovers 39%.

How many goals are expected in Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Galway United 1.3 · Shamrock Rovers 1.44), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.