Prediction: EBK vs AIFK
Expected goals: 3.56 (EBK 1.14 · AIFK 2.43). The model gives 16% home, 19% draw, 65% away. Under 3.75 goals (54%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-2.
Recent form leaves EBK with 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses over 10 games; AIFK has piled up 7-1-2 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for EBK and 1 for AIFK.
| EBK | Draw | AIFK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 20% | 65% |
| Market | 16% | 18% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AIFK (rating 1441 vs 1564).
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| EBK | AIFK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.3 | 1.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 6.6 | 3.1 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · EBK 0–0–1 AIFK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B | AIFK | 3-0 HT 1-0 | EBK |
Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Honka | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | AIFK | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | HJS | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 18 |
| 4 | Tampereen Ilves 2 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 15 | 16 |
| 5 | P-Iirot | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 14 |
| 6 | GrIFK | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 12 |
| 7 | EPS | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 11 |
| 8 | EBK | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 8 |
| 9 | MuSa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 6 |
| 10 | NJS | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | EBK | AIFK |
|---|---|---|
| Tampereen Ilves 2 | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| MuSa | 0-2 L | 4-2 W |
| FC Honka | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| EPS | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| GrIFK | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| HJS | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| P-Iirot | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: AIFK (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
EBK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 16 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 29/05 | EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 26/05 | FC Inter Finland Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 11 | W |
| 17/05 | HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Tampere Utd Finland Cup |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 05/05 | FC POHU/KY United Finland Cup |
1-2 | 4-4 | 18 | 4 | D |
AIFK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 13/06 | EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 04/06 | P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-2 | 4-2 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 18/05 | NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
3-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 13/05 | VPS Vaasa Finland Cup |
0-6 | 0-7 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 05/05 | Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | MaPS Finland Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in EBK vs AIFK?
According to our model, the most likely result is an AIFK win (65%). Probabilities: EBK 16%, draw 19%, AIFK 65%.
How many goals are expected in EBK vs AIFK?
The model expects 3.56 goals (EBK 1.14 · AIFK 2.43), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in EBK vs AIFK?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.