Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 11/07, 16:00

Prediction: NJS vs EBK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.48Total

NJS1.29

EBK2.19

1X2

21% 21% 57%

NJS Draw EBK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

NJS 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLDLLL

EBK 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LDLWLDLLLL

Head-to-head

NJS 0–1 EBK (1 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NJS 1387 · EBK 1432

	NJS	Draw	EBK
Our model	21%	22%	57%
Market	22%	21%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EBK (rating 1387 vs 1432).
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NJS	EBK
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 2.9	1.2 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.3	0.7 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 2.8	1.8 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · NJS 0–0–1 EBK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	EBK	3-1 HT 2-1	NJS

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	11	9	2	0	37	8	29
2	AIFK	11	8	2	1	28	10	26
3	Tampereen Ilves 2	10	5	4	1	27	17	19
4	HJS	11	5	3	3	18	15	18
5	P-Iirot	11	5	2	4	21	16	17
6	GrIFK	11	4	3	4	14	17	15
7	EPS	11	3	2	6	20	20	11
8	MuSa	12	2	3	7	15	37	9
9	EBK	11	2	2	7	14	27	8
10	NJS	11	0	1	10	6	33	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NJS	EBK
GrIFK	0-2 L	1-0 W
HJS	0-3 L	2-3 L
Tampereen Ilves 2	1-7 L	2-3 L
MuSa	0-0 D	0-2 L
FC Honka	0-2 L	1-4 L
P-Iirot	0-5 L	0-1 L
AIFK	1-4 L	1-6 L
EPS	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 7 L	1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: EBK (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

NJS

LLLLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
27/06	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	0-3	3	2	L
13/06	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-4	1-7	–	–	L
05/06	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
29/05	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-2	0	5	L
23/05	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-5	6	5	L
18/05	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-3	1-4	1	6	L
09/05	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-2	2	3	L
03/05	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
24/04	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-1	2	7	L

EBK

LDLWLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/07	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-3	1-6	3	4	L
28/06	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-3	7	3	L
12/06	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	0-2	16	2	L
06/06	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-4	2	7	L
29/05	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	2-2	5	5	D
26/05	FC Inter Finland Cup	1-1	1-2	0	5	L
24/05	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-0	6	11	W
17/05	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	2-3	4	5	L
13/05	Tampere Utd Finland Cup	2-1	2-2	3	3	D
09/05	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-1	5	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NJS vs EBK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an EBK win (57%). Probabilities: NJS 21%, draw 21%, EBK 57%.

How many goals are expected in NJS vs EBK?

The model expects 3.48 goals (NJS 1.29 · EBK 2.19), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NJS vs EBK?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.