Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 10/07, 17:30

Prediction: AIFK vs Tampereen Ilves 2

Expected goals: 4.11 (AIFK 2.5 · Tampereen Ilves 2 1.61). The model gives 56% home, 21% draw, 23% away. Over 3.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 2-1.

Recent form leaves AIFK with 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Tampereen Ilves 2 has piled up 5-4-1 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 1 wins for AIFK and 0 for Tampereen Ilves 2.

56%1
56% 21% 23%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AIFK 1558 · Tampereen Ilves 2 1551
AIFKDrawTampereen Ilves 2
Our model56%20%23%
Market56%21%23%
Estimated total (ours) 4.11 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.11AIFK 2.5 · Tampereen Ilves 2 1.61
Over / Under 3.75Over 3.75 · 53%
BTTSYes · 61%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 14.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AIFKTampereen Ilves 2
Goals for / against (FT)2.4 / 1.62.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 1.31.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 6.24.3 / 7.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.42.6 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · AIFK 100 Tampereen Ilves 2

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/05/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
Tampereen Ilves 21-2
HT 1-1
AIFK

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Honka 11920 37829
2 AIFK 11821 281026
3 Tampereen Ilves 2 10541 271719
4 HJS 11533 181518
5 P-Iirot 11524 211617
6 GrIFK 10433 131415
7 EPS 11326 202011
8 EBK 11227 14278
9 MuSa 11137 12366
10 NJS 110110 6331

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAIFKTampereen Ilves 2
EBK 6-1 W 3-2 W
FC Honka 0-1 L 2-2 D
EPS 2-1 W 4-2 W
P-Iirot 2-0 W 3-2 W
MuSa 4-2 W 4-3 W
HJS 1-1 D 0-0 D
NJS 4-1 W 7-1 W
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 1 L 5 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AIFK

WWLWDWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
3-1 6-1 34 W
26/06 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 0-1 77 L
13/06 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 2-1 47 W
04/06 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 2-0 53 W
29/05 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-2 4-2 122 W
23/05 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 1-1 83 D
18/05 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
3-0 4-1 116 W
13/05 VPS Vaasa
Finland Cup
0-6 0-7 10 L
09/05 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-1 3-1 46 W
05/05 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 2-1 71 W

Tampereen Ilves 2

DDLDWWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
3-1 4-2 45 W
28/06 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 3-2 13 W
13/06 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
4-1 7-1 W
29/05 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 0-0 63 D
23/05 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-3 4-3 201 W
17/05 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 3-2 115 W
08/05 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-0 2-2 51 D
05/05 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 1-2 61 L
25/04 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 1-1 74 D
18/04 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 2-2 113 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AIFK vs Tampereen Ilves 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AIFK win (56%). Probabilities: AIFK 56%, draw 21%, Tampereen Ilves 2 23%.

How many goals are expected in AIFK vs Tampereen Ilves 2?

The model expects 4.11 goals (AIFK 2.5 · Tampereen Ilves 2 1.61), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AIFK vs Tampereen Ilves 2?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.