Prediction: EPS vs P-Iirot

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
EPS1.8
P-Iirot1.83
1X2
38% 24% 39%
EPS Draw P-Iirot
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
EPS 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWLWLDWLLL
P-Iirot 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WWLLWDLLDW
Head-to-head
EPS 1–2–2 P-Iirot (5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EPS 1464 · P-Iirot 1490
EPSDrawP-Iirot
Our model38%24%39%
Market38%24%39%
Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours P-Iirot: 2-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

EPSP-Iirot
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 2.21.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 10.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 5.82.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.34.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · EPS 122 P-Iirot

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
P-Iirot2-1
HT 0-1
EPS
26/08/23
Finland Kakkonen Group B
EPS3-2
HT 1-1
P-Iirot
04/06/23
Finland Kakkonen Group B
P-Iirot1-0
HT 1-0
EPS
28/09/19
Finland Kakkonen Group B
EPS4-4
HT 1-3
P-Iirot
29/06/19
Finland Kakkonen Group B
P-Iirot1-1
HT 0-0
EPS

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Honka 11920 37829
2 AIFK 11821 281026
3 Tampereen Ilves 2 10541 271719
4 HJS 11533 181518
5 P-Iirot 11524 211617
6 GrIFK 11434 141715
7 EPS 11326 202011
8 MuSa 12237 15379
9 EBK 11227 14278
10 NJS 110110 6331

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEPSP-Iirot
Tampereen Ilves 2 2-4 L 2-3 L
GrIFK 1-3 L 1-1 D
AIFK 1-2 L 0-2 L
HJS 3-1 W 3-0 W
EBK 2-2 D 1-0 W
FC Honka 1-2 L 1-5 L
MuSa 6-1 W 2-2 D
NJS 2-1 W 5-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 4 L 3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: P-Iirot (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EPS

LWLWLDWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-3 2-4 65 L
27/06 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 1-3 73 L
13/06 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 1-2 37 L
06/06 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 3-1 45 W
29/05 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 2-2 45 D
22/05 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 1-2 73 L
16/05 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-0 6-1 83 W
13/05 FC Haka
Finland Cup
0-1 0-4 24 L
09/05 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 2-1 143 W
02/05 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 1-2 34 L

P-Iirot

WWLLWDLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 3-0 93 W
27/06 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-1 2-2 45 D
13/06 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 1-5 44 L
04/06 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-2 13 L
29/05 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 1-1 211 D
23/05 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 5-0 35 W
17/05 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 2-3 65 L
13/05 FC Ilves
Finland Cup
0-1 0-4 13 L
09/05 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 1-0 77 W
02/05 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 2-1 64 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EPS vs P-Iirot?

According to our model, the most likely result is an P-Iirot win (39%). Probabilities: EPS 38%, draw 24%, P-Iirot 39%.

How many goals are expected in EPS vs P-Iirot?

The model expects 3.63 goals (EPS 1.8 · P-Iirot 1.83), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in EPS vs P-Iirot?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.