Prediction: MuSa vs GrIFK
Expected goals: 3.54 (MuSa 1.36 · GrIFK 2.17). The model gives 23% home, 22% draw, 55% away. Over 3.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, MuSa is 1-3-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and GrIFK 4-3-3 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, MuSa won 1 and GrIFK 3, with 2 draws.
| MuSa | Draw | GrIFK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 22% | 55% |
| Market | 23% | 22% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GrIFK (rating 1435 vs 1506).
- H2H favours GrIFK: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MuSa | GrIFK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 3.2 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 1.9 | 2.6 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 5.6 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MuSa 1–2–3 GrIFK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B | GrIFK | 1-1 HT 1-0 | MuSa |
| 16/06/24 Finland Cup | GrIFK | 3-2 HT 2-1 | MuSa |
| 11/09/22 Finland Kakkonen Group B | GrIFK | 1-2 HT 1-0 | MuSa |
| 22/06/22 Finland Kakkonen Group B | MuSa | 2-2 HT 0-1 | GrIFK |
| 05/08/18 Finland Kakkonen Group B | GrIFK | 3-0 HT 3-0 | MuSa |
| 26/05/18 Finland Kakkonen Group B | MuSa | 1-4 HT 0-2 | GrIFK |
Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Honka | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 37 | 8 | 29 |
| 2 | AIFK | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Tampereen Ilves 2 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 17 | 19 |
| 4 | HJS | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 18 |
| 5 | P-Iirot | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 17 |
| 6 | GrIFK | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 7 | EPS | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 11 |
| 8 | EBK | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 27 | 8 |
| 9 | MuSa | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 6 |
| 10 | NJS | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 33 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | MuSa | GrIFK |
|---|---|---|
| FC Honka | 1-7 L | 1-5 L |
| P-Iirot | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| EBK | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| NJS | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| AIFK | 2-4 L | 1-3 L |
| EPS | 1-6 L | 3-1 W |
| HJS | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: GrIFK (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MuSa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-3 | 1-7 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 12/06 | EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 05/06 | NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 29/05 | AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
2-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B |
3-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-2 | 1-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-2 | 0-6 | 4 | 4 | L |
GrIFK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 11 | D |
| 24/05 | EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 11 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 17/04 | EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MuSa vs GrIFK?
According to our model, the most likely result is an GrIFK win (55%). Probabilities: MuSa 23%, draw 22%, GrIFK 55%.
How many goals are expected in MuSa vs GrIFK?
The model expects 3.54 goals (MuSa 1.36 · GrIFK 2.17), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in MuSa vs GrIFK?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.