Prediction: Tampereen Ilves 2 vs EPS
Expected goals: 3.92 (Tampereen Ilves 2 2.55 · EPS 1.36). The model gives 62% home, 20% draw, 18% away. Over 3.75 goals (50%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Tampereen Ilves 2 sits at 5-4-1 (W-D-L), while EPS arrives on a 4-1-5 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Tampereen Ilves 2 and 4 for EPS, with 1 draw.
| Tampereen Ilves 2 | Draw | EPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 19% | 18% |
| Market | 62% | 20% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tampereen Ilves 2 (rating 1547 vs 1479).
- H2H favours EPS: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tampereen Ilves 2 | EPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.7 | 1.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.4 / 8.1 | 1.9 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tampereen Ilves 2 1–1–4 EPS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B | EPS | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Tampereen Ilves 2 |
| 20/08/23 Finland Kakkonen Group B | Tampereen Ilves 2 | 0-1 HT 0-0 | EPS |
| 27/05/23 Finland Kakkonen Group B | EPS | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Tampereen Ilves 2 |
| 03/08/22 Finland Kakkonen Group B | Tampereen Ilves 2 | 2-1 HT 0-1 | EPS |
| 30/07/22 Finland Kakkonen Group B | EPS | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Tampereen Ilves 2 |
| 22/09/21 Finland Kakkonen Group B | EPS | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Tampereen Ilves 2 |
Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Honka | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | AIFK | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | HJS | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 18 |
| 4 | Tampereen Ilves 2 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 15 | 16 |
| 5 | P-Iirot | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 14 |
| 6 | GrIFK | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 12 |
| 7 | EPS | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 11 |
| 8 | EBK | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 27 | 8 |
| 9 | MuSa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 6 |
| 10 | NJS | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tampereen Ilves 2 | EPS |
|---|---|---|
| EBK | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| NJS | 7-1 W | 2-1 W |
| HJS | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| MuSa | 4-3 W | 6-1 W |
| P-Iirot | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Honka | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| AIFK | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Tampereen Ilves 2 (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tampereen Ilves 2
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
4-1 | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/05 | HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-3 | 4-3 | 20 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 05/05 | AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 31/01 | FC Inter II Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
EPS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 22/05 | FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B |
2-0 | 6-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | FC Haka Finland Cup |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/04 | Valtti Finland Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tampereen Ilves 2 vs EPS?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tampereen Ilves 2 win (62%). Probabilities: Tampereen Ilves 2 62%, draw 20%, EPS 18%.
How many goals are expected in Tampereen Ilves 2 vs EPS?
The model expects 3.92 goals (Tampereen Ilves 2 2.55 · EPS 1.36), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tampereen Ilves 2 vs EPS?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.