Prediction: HJS vs MuSa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.83Total
HJS2.82
MuSa1.01
1X2
74% 15% 10%
HJS Draw MuSa
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
HJS 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WLWDDLDWLD
MuSa 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DLLLLDWDLW
Head-to-head
HJS 3–3 MuSa (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HJS 1507 · MuSa 1457
HJSDrawMuSa
Our model74%16%10%
Market75%15%11%
Estimated total (ours) 3.83 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HJS (rating 1507 vs 1457).
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HJSMuSa
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.51.5 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.41 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 50.9 / 1.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.12.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · HJS 303 MuSa

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
MuSa0-2
HT 0-0
HJS
16/08/25
Finland Kakkonen Group B
HJS4-0
HT 1-0
MuSa
14/06/25
Finland Kakkonen Group B
MuSa0-2
HT 0-0
HJS
23/07/22
Finland Kakkonen Group B
MuSa1-0
HT 0-0
HJS
30/04/22
Finland Kakkonen Group B
HJS0-4
HT 0-1
MuSa
14/07/18
Finland Kakkonen Group B
MuSa3-1
HT 2-0
HJS

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Honka 12930 38930
2 AIFK 12831 291127
3 Tampereen Ilves 2 12651 342023
4 HJS 12543 191619
5 P-Iirot 12525 211817
6 GrIFK 12435 162315
7 EPS 12426 222014
8 EBK 12327 172811
9 MuSa 12237 15379
10 NJS 120111 7361

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHJSMuSa
FC Honka 1-1 D 1-7 L
P-Iirot 0-3 L 2-2 D
NJS 3-0 W 0-0 D
GrIFK 2-2 D 3-1 W
EPS 1-3 L 1-6 L
Tampereen Ilves 2 0-0 D 3-4 L
AIFK 1-1 D 2-4 L
EBK 3-2 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 4 D 2 L 2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: HJS (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HJS

WLWDDLDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/07 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 1-1 53 D
04/07 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-3 93 L
27/06 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-0 3-0 32 W
12/06 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 2-2 104 D
06/06 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 1-3 25 L
29/05 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 0-0 53 D
23/05 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 1-1 43 D
17/05 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-0 3-2 45 W
13/05 TPS
Finland Cup
0-1 0-3 44 L
09/05 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 2-0 42 W

MuSa

DLLLLDWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/07 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 3-1 33 W
04/07 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-3 1-7 13 L
27/06 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-2 2-2 15 D
12/06 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-0 2-0 12 W
05/06 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 0-0 25 D
29/05 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-1 2-4 12 L
23/05 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
3-1 3-4 01 L
16/05 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-2 1-6 23 L
09/05 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 0-2 62 L
02/05 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 1-1 13 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HJS vs MuSa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HJS win (74%). Probabilities: HJS 74%, draw 15%, MuSa 10%.

How many goals are expected in HJS vs MuSa?

The model expects 3.83 goals (HJS 2.82 · MuSa 1.01), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in HJS vs MuSa?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.