Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 18/07, 16:00

Prediction: EBK vs P-Iirot

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.5Total

EBK1.67

P-Iirot1.83

1X2

35% 23% 42%

EBK Draw P-Iirot

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

EBK 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLWLDLLLLW

P-Iirot 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWDLLDWL

Head-to-head

EBK 0–3 P-Iirot (3 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EBK 1441 · P-Iirot 1471

	EBK	Draw	P-Iirot
Our model	35%	24%	41%
Market	35%	23%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours P-Iirot: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	EBK	P-Iirot
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.5	1.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.9	2.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · EBK 0–0–3 P-Iirot

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	P-Iirot	1-0 HT 1-0	EBK
20/07/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	EBK	1-2 HT 0-1	P-Iirot
17/05/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	P-Iirot	11-0 HT 4-0	EBK

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	12	9	3	0	38	9	30
2	AIFK	12	8	3	1	29	11	27
3	Tampereen Ilves 2	12	6	5	1	34	20	23
4	HJS	12	5	4	3	19	16	19
5	P-Iirot	12	5	2	5	21	18	17
6	GrIFK	12	4	3	5	16	23	15
7	EPS	12	4	2	6	22	20	14
8	EBK	12	3	2	7	17	28	11
9	MuSa	12	2	3	7	15	37	9
10	NJS	12	0	1	11	7	36	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	EBK	P-Iirot
NJS	3-1 W	5-0 W
AIFK	1-6 L	0-2 L
Tampereen Ilves 2	2-3 L	2-3 L
MuSa	0-2 L	2-2 D
FC Honka	1-4 L	1-5 L
EPS	2-2 D	0-2 L
GrIFK	1-0 W	1-1 D
HJS	2-3 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: P-Iirot (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

EBK

DLWLDLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	3-1	13	4	W
02/07	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-3	1-6	3	4	L
28/06	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-3	7	3	L
12/06	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	0-2	16	2	L
06/06	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-4	2	7	L
29/05	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	2-2	5	5	D
26/05	FC Inter Finland Cup	1-1	1-2	0	5	L
24/05	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-0	6	11	W
17/05	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	2-3	4	5	L
13/05	Tampere Utd Finland Cup	2-1	2-2	3	3	D

P-Iirot

WLLWDLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
04/07	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	3-0	9	3	W
27/06	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	2-2	4	5	D
13/06	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-5	4	4	L
04/06	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
29/05	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-1	2	11	D
23/05	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	5-0	3	5	W
17/05	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	2-3	6	5	L
13/05	FC Ilves Finland Cup	0-1	0-4	1	3	L
09/05	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-0	7	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EBK vs P-Iirot?

According to our model, the most likely result is an P-Iirot win (42%). Probabilities: EBK 35%, draw 23%, P-Iirot 42%.

How many goals are expected in EBK vs P-Iirot?

The model expects 3.5 goals (EBK 1.67 · P-Iirot 1.83), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in EBK vs P-Iirot?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.