Prediction: Tampereen Ilves 2 vs GrIFK
| Tampereen Ilves 2 | Draw | GrIFK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 20% | 20% |
| Market | 60% | 20% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tampereen Ilves 2 (rating 1553 vs 1485).
- H2H favours GrIFK: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tampereen Ilves 2 | GrIFK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 7.1 | 2.7 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.3 | 5.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tampereen Ilves 2 1–0–5 GrIFK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/23 Finland Kakkonen Group B | Tampereen Ilves 2 | 1-2 HT 1-0 | GrIFK |
| 13/05/23 Finland Kakkonen Group B | GrIFK | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Tampereen Ilves 2 |
| 16/07/22 Finland Kakkonen Group B | GrIFK | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Tampereen Ilves 2 |
| 24/04/22 Finland Kakkonen Group B | Tampereen Ilves 2 | 3-1 HT 0-1 | GrIFK |
| 25/08/21 Finland Kakkonen Group B | GrIFK | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tampereen Ilves 2 |
| 24/07/21 Finland Kakkonen Group B | Tampereen Ilves 2 | 2-4 HT 0-4 | GrIFK |
Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Honka | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 37 | 8 | 29 |
| 2 | AIFK | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Tampereen Ilves 2 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 18 | 20 |
| 4 | HJS | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 18 |
| 5 | P-Iirot | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 17 |
| 6 | GrIFK | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 15 |
| 7 | EPS | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 14 |
| 8 | EBK | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 11 |
| 9 | MuSa | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 9 |
| 10 | NJS | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tampereen Ilves 2 | GrIFK |
|---|---|---|
| AIFK | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| EPS | 4-2 W | 3-1 W |
| EBK | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| NJS | 7-1 W | 2-0 W |
| HJS | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| MuSa | 4-3 W | 1-3 L |
| P-Iirot | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Honka | 2-2 D | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Tampereen Ilves 2 (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tampereen Ilves 2
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 05/07 | EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
3-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
4-1 | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/05 | HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-3 | 4-3 | 20 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 05/05 | AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
GrIFK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 03/07 | NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 11 | D |
| 24/05 | EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 11 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tampereen Ilves 2 vs GrIFK?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tampereen Ilves 2 win (59%). Probabilities: Tampereen Ilves 2 59%, draw 20%, GrIFK 21%.
How many goals are expected in Tampereen Ilves 2 vs GrIFK?
The model expects 3.82 goals (Tampereen Ilves 2 2.42 · GrIFK 1.4), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tampereen Ilves 2 vs GrIFK?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.