Prediction: EPS vs NJS
| EPS | Draw | NJS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 80% | 11% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EPS (rating 1484 vs 1380).
- H2H favours EPS: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| EPS | NJS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2 | 0.5 / 3.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.3 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 6.1 | 1.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · EPS 3–0–0 NJS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B | NJS | 1-2 HT 1-0 | EPS |
| 08/05/24 Finland Cup | NJS | 0-3 HT 0-2 | EPS |
| 11/07/20 Finland Kakkonen Group A | EPS | 1-0 HT 1-0 | NJS |
Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Honka | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 38 | 9 | 30 |
| 2 | AIFK | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Tampereen Ilves 2 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 20 | 23 |
| 4 | HJS | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 19 |
| 5 | P-Iirot | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 17 |
| 6 | GrIFK | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 15 |
| 7 | EPS | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 14 |
| 8 | EBK | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 11 |
| 9 | MuSa | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 9 |
| 10 | NJS | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | EPS | NJS |
|---|---|---|
| P-Iirot | 2-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Tampereen Ilves 2 | 2-4 L | 1-7 L |
| GrIFK | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| AIFK | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| HJS | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| EBK | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| FC Honka | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| MuSa | 6-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 0 W 1 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: EPS (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
EPS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 22/05 | FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B |
2-0 | 6-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | FC Haka Finland Cup |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 3 | W |
NJS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 03/07 | GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-4 | 1-7 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 29/05 | FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 0-5 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in EPS vs NJS?
According to our model, the most likely result is a EPS win (79%). Probabilities: EPS 79%, draw 13%, NJS 8%.
How many goals are expected in EPS vs NJS?
The model expects 3.95 goals (EPS 2.97 · NJS 0.97), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in EPS vs NJS?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.