Prediction: GrIFK vs AIFK

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.56Total
GrIFK1.33
AIFK2.23
1X2
21% 22% 57%
GrIFK Draw AIFK
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
GrIFK 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DLLLDDWWLL
AIFK 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WLWDWWWLWD
Head-to-head
GrIFK 2–2 AIFK (4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GrIFK 1460 · AIFK 1558
GrIFKDrawAIFK
Our model21%22%57%
Market21%21%57%
Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AIFK (rating 1460 vs 1558).
  • High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GrIFKAIFK
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 2.32.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 1.11.2 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/0/70%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 53 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.3 / 0.43.8 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · GrIFK 202 AIFK

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
AIFK3-1
HT 2-1
GrIFK
02/09/15
Finland Kakkonen Group B
GrIFK1-3
HT 1-0
AIFK
24/08/15
Finland Kakkonen Group B
AIFK0-1
HT 0-0
GrIFK
09/05/15
Finland Kakkonen Group B
AIFK3-6
HT 0-3
GrIFK

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Honka 12930 38930
2 AIFK 12831 291127
3 Tampereen Ilves 2 12651 342023
4 HJS 12543 191619
5 P-Iirot 12525 211817
6 GrIFK 12435 162315
7 EPS 12426 222014
8 EBK 12327 172811
9 MuSa 12237 15379
10 NJS 120111 7361

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGrIFKAIFK
Tampereen Ilves 2 2-6 L 1-1 D
MuSa 1-3 L 4-2 W
NJS 2-0 W 4-1 W
EPS 3-1 W 2-1 W
HJS 2-2 D 1-1 D
P-Iirot 1-1 D 2-0 W
EBK 0-1 L 6-1 W
FC Honka 1-5 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 4 L 5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: AIFK (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GrIFK

DLLLDDWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/07 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-2 2-6 16 L
09/07 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 1-3 73 L
03/07 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 2-0 63 W
27/06 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 3-1 43 W
12/06 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 2-2 54 D
29/05 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 1-1 611 D
24/05 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-1 411 L
16/05 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-3 1-5 17 L
09/05 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-2 1-3 46 L
02/05 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 1-1 123 D

AIFK

WLWDWWWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/07 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 1-1 64 D
02/07 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
3-1 6-1 34 W
26/06 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 0-1 77 L
13/06 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 2-1 47 W
04/06 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 2-0 53 W
29/05 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-2 4-2 122 W
23/05 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 1-1 83 D
18/05 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
3-0 4-1 116 W
13/05 VPS Vaasa
Finland Cup
0-6 0-7 10 L
09/05 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-1 3-1 46 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GrIFK vs AIFK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AIFK win (57%). Probabilities: GrIFK 21%, draw 22%, AIFK 57%.

How many goals are expected in GrIFK vs AIFK?

The model expects 3.56 goals (GrIFK 1.33 · AIFK 2.23), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in GrIFK vs AIFK?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.