Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 24/07, 17:30

Prediction: HJS vs EBK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

HJS2.24

EBK1.19

1X2

60% 21% 19%

HJS Draw EBK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

HJS 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDLDWLDW

EBK 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLLLWD

Head-to-head

HJS 3–0 EBK (3 last)

EBK2-3HJS
HJS6-0EBK
EBK1-2HJS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HJS 1507 · EBK 1449

	HJS	Draw	EBK
Our model	60%	21%	18%
Market	60%	21%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HJS (rating 1507 vs 1449).
H2H favours HJS: 3-0-0.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HJS	EBK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	1.4 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.3	2.2 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.33

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.35

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:01 +3’	1.48	4.33	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HJS 3–0–0 EBK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	EBK	2-3 HT 0-2	HJS
27/07/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	HJS	6-0 HT 1-0	EBK
25/05/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	EBK	1-2 HT 0-1	HJS

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	13	9	4	0	40	11	31
2	AIFK	13	9	3	1	30	11	30
3	Tampereen Ilves 2	13	6	6	1	36	22	24
4	HJS	13	6	4	3	21	17	22
5	P-Iirot	13	5	3	5	22	19	18
6	EPS	13	5	2	6	24	21	17
7	GrIFK	13	4	3	6	16	24	15
8	EBK	13	3	3	7	18	29	12
9	MuSa	13	2	3	8	16	39	9
10	NJS	13	0	1	12	8	38	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HJS	EBK
MuSa	2-1 W	0-2 L
FC Honka	1-1 D	1-4 L
P-Iirot	0-3 L	1-1 D
NJS	3-0 W	3-1 W
GrIFK	2-2 D	1-0 W
EPS	1-3 L	2-2 D
Tampereen Ilves 2	0-0 D	2-3 L
AIFK	1-1 D	1-6 L
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: HJS (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

HJS

LWDDLDWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	2-1	7	4	W
13/07	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
04/07	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-3	9	3	L
27/06	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	3-0	3	2	W
12/06	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-2	10	4	D
06/06	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-3	2	5	L
29/05	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
23/05	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
17/05	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	3-2	4	5	W
13/05	TPS Finland Cup	0-1	0-3	4	4	L

EBK

LWLDLLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
11/07	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	3-1	13	4	W
02/07	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-3	1-6	3	4	L
28/06	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-3	7	3	L
12/06	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	0-2	16	2	L
06/06	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-4	2	7	L
29/05	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	2-2	5	5	D
26/05	FC Inter Finland Cup	1-1	1-2	0	5	L
24/05	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-0	6	11	W
17/05	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	2-3	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HJS vs EBK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HJS win (60%). Probabilities: HJS 60%, draw 21%, EBK 19%.

How many goals are expected in HJS vs EBK?

The model expects 3.43 goals (HJS 2.24 · EBK 1.19), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in HJS vs EBK?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.