Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 24/07, 18:00

Prediction: NJS vs AIFK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.75Total

NJS0.87

AIFK2.87

1X2

6% 11% 83%

NJS Draw AIFK

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

NJS 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLLLLL

AIFK 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWWWLWDW

Head-to-head

NJS 0–1 AIFK (1 last)

AIFK4-1NJS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NJS 1381 · AIFK 1569

	NJS	Draw	AIFK
Our model	8%	14%	78%
Market	4%	8%	88%

Estimated total (ours) 3.75 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AIFK (rating 1381 vs 1569).
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NJS	AIFK
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 3	2.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.1	1.1 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3	3.1 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

121.00

X12.00

21.07

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3)1.85

2 (-3)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.98

Under 4.251.82

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.55

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	21.00 → 21.00	Bet365 21.00
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	1.07 → 1.07	Bet365 1.07

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:56 +9’	21.00	12.00	1.07

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NJS 0–0–1 AIFK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	AIFK	4-1 HT 3-0	NJS

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	13	9	4	0	40	11	31
2	AIFK	13	9	3	1	30	11	30
3	Tampereen Ilves 2	13	6	6	1	36	22	24
4	HJS	13	6	4	3	21	17	22
5	P-Iirot	13	5	3	5	22	19	18
6	EPS	13	5	2	6	24	21	17
7	GrIFK	13	4	3	6	16	24	15
8	EBK	13	3	3	7	18	29	12
9	MuSa	13	2	3	8	16	39	9
10	NJS	13	0	1	12	8	38	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NJS	AIFK
EPS	1-2 L	2-1 W
EBK	1-3 L	6-1 W
GrIFK	0-2 L	1-0 W
HJS	0-3 L	1-1 D
Tampereen Ilves 2	1-7 L	1-1 D
MuSa	0-0 D	4-2 W
FC Honka	0-2 L	0-1 L
P-Iirot	0-5 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 7 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: AIFK (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

NJS

LLLLDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-2	3	2	L
11/07	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	1-3	4	4	L
03/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
27/06	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	0-3	3	2	L
13/06	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-4	1-7	–	–	L
05/06	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
29/05	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-2	0	5	L
23/05	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-5	6	5	L
18/05	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-3	1-4	1	6	L
09/05	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-2	2	3	L

AIFK

LWDWWWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
10/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
02/07	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-1	6-1	3	4	W
26/06	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
13/06	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	2-1	4	7	W
04/06	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
29/05	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	4-2	12	2	W
23/05	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-1	8	3	D
18/05	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-0	4-1	11	6	W
13/05	VPS Vaasa Finland Cup	0-6	0-7	1	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NJS vs AIFK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AIFK win (83%). Probabilities: NJS 6%, draw 11%, AIFK 83%.

How many goals are expected in NJS vs AIFK?

The model expects 3.75 goals (NJS 0.87 · AIFK 2.87), with a 57% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in NJS vs AIFK?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.