Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 24/07, 18:00

Prediction: P-Iirot vs Tampereen Ilves 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.08Total

P-Iirot1.83

Tampereen Ilves 22.25

1X2

31% 22% 47%

P-Iirot Draw Tampereen Ilves 2

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

P-Iirot 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLDWLD

Tampereen Ilves 2 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

DWWDWWWDWD

Head-to-head

P-Iirot 1–5 Tampereen Ilves 2 (6 last)

Tampereen Ilves 23-2P-Iirot
P-Iirot2-4Tampereen Ilves 2
P-Iirot1-2Tampereen Ilves 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · P-Iirot 1445 · Tampereen Ilves 2 1592

	P-Iirot	Draw	Tampereen Ilves 2
Our model	31%	21%	47%
Market	31%	22%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 4.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tampereen Ilves 2 (rating 1445 vs 1592).
H2H favours Tampereen Ilves 2: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	P-Iirot	Tampereen Ilves 2
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2	3.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	1.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.4	3.3 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.90

X4.00

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 4.2

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
11:03 +1’	2.90	4.00	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · P-Iirot 1–0–5 Tampereen Ilves 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Tampereen Ilves 2	3-2 HT 1-1	P-Iirot
02/09/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B	P-Iirot	2-4 HT 1-3	Tampereen Ilves 2
16/08/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B	P-Iirot	1-2 HT 0-0	Tampereen Ilves 2
14/06/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Tampereen Ilves 2	1-5 HT 0-3	P-Iirot
01/08/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	P-Iirot	0-3 HT 0-2	Tampereen Ilves 2
29/05/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Tampereen Ilves 2	4-1 HT 1-1	P-Iirot

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	13	9	4	0	40	11	31
2	AIFK	13	9	3	1	30	11	30
3	Tampereen Ilves 2	13	6	6	1	36	22	24
4	HJS	13	6	4	3	21	17	22
5	P-Iirot	13	5	3	5	22	19	18
6	EPS	13	5	2	6	24	21	17
7	GrIFK	13	4	3	6	16	24	15
8	EBK	13	3	3	7	18	29	12
9	MuSa	13	2	3	8	16	39	9
10	NJS	13	0	1	12	8	38	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	P-Iirot	Tampereen Ilves 2
EBK	1-1 D	3-2 W
EPS	0-2 L	4-2 W
HJS	3-0 W	0-0 D
MuSa	2-2 D	4-3 W
FC Honka	1-5 L	2-2 D
AIFK	0-2 L	1-1 D
GrIFK	1-1 D	6-2 W
NJS	5-0 W	7-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	5 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Tampereen Ilves 2 (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

P-Iirot

LLWDLLDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
11/07	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
04/07	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	3-0	9	3	W
27/06	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	2-2	4	5	D
13/06	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-5	4	4	L
04/06	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
29/05	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-1	2	11	D
23/05	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	5-0	3	5	W
17/05	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	2-3	6	5	L
13/05	FC Ilves Finland Cup	0-1	0-4	1	3	L

Tampereen Ilves 2

DWWDWWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	2-2	0	4	D
14/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	6-2	5	6	W
10/07	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
05/07	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-1	4-2	4	5	W
28/06	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	3-2	1	3	W
13/06	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	4-1	7-1	–	–	W
29/05	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
23/05	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-3	4-3	20	1	W
17/05	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	3-2	11	5	W
08/05	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	2-2	5	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in P-Iirot vs Tampereen Ilves 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tampereen Ilves 2 win (47%). Probabilities: P-Iirot 31%, draw 22%, Tampereen Ilves 2 47%.

How many goals are expected in P-Iirot vs Tampereen Ilves 2?

The model expects 4.08 goals (P-Iirot 1.83 · Tampereen Ilves 2 2.25), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in P-Iirot vs Tampereen Ilves 2?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.