Prediction: FC Honka vs GrIFK

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.42Total
FC Honka3.21
GrIFK1.21
1X2
81% 11% 8%
FC Honka Draw GrIFK
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Honka 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWLWWWDD
GrIFK 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLLDDWWLLL
Head-to-head
FC Honka 6–0 GrIFK (6 last)
  • GrIFK1-5FC Honka
  • FC Honka3-1GrIFK
  • FC Honka7-0GrIFK
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Honka 1607 · GrIFK 1435
FC HonkaDrawGrIFK
Our model76%14%10%
Market85%9%5%
Estimated total (ours) 4.42 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Honka (rating 1607 vs 1435).
  • H2H favours FC Honka: 6-0-0.
  • High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC HonkaGrIFK
Goals for / against (FT)3 / 1.51.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.80.4 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%20/0/80%
Corners (HT / FT)3.7 / 7.12.1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 05.7 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Honka 600 GrIFK

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/05/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
GrIFK1-5
HT 1-3
FC Honka
30/08/25
Finland Kakkonen Group A
FC Honka3-1
HT 0-1
GrIFK
16/08/25
Finland Kakkonen Group A
FC Honka7-0
HT 4-0
GrIFK
15/06/25
Finland Kakkonen Group A
GrIFK1-3
HT 0-0
FC Honka
22/09/17
Finland Ykkosliiga
GrIFK1-2
HT 1-1
FC Honka
24/07/17
Finland Ykkosliiga
FC Honka3-0
HT 2-0
GrIFK

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Honka 13940 401131
2 AIFK 13931 301130
3 Tampereen Ilves 2 13661 362224
4 HJS 13643 211722
5 P-Iirot 13535 221918
6 EPS 13526 242117
7 GrIFK 13436 162415
8 EBK 13337 182912
9 MuSa 13238 16399
10 NJS 130112 8381

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC HonkaGrIFK
Tampereen Ilves 2 2-2 D 2-6 L
HJS 1-1 D 2-2 D
MuSa 7-1 W 1-3 L
AIFK 1-0 W 0-1 L
P-Iirot 5-1 W 1-1 D
EBK 4-1 W 0-1 L
NJS 2-0 W 2-0 W
EPS 2-1 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 6 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Honka (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Honka

WWWWLWWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-2 2-2 114 D
13/07 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 1-1 93 D
04/07 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
3-1 7-1 53 W
26/06 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 1-0 77 W
13/06 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 5-1 84 W
09/06 HJK Helsinki
Finland Cup
1-4 1-7 13 L
06/06 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 4-1 57 W
29/05 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 2-0 105 W
26/05 VJS Vantaa
Finland Cup
2-0 5-1 97 W
22/05 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 2-1 63 W

GrIFK

LLLDDWWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-1 67 L
14/07 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-2 2-6 16 L
09/07 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 1-3 73 L
03/07 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 2-0 63 W
27/06 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 3-1 43 W
12/06 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 2-2 54 D
29/05 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 1-1 611 D
24/05 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-1 411 L
16/05 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-3 1-5 17 L
09/05 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-2 1-3 46 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Honka vs GrIFK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Honka win (81%). Probabilities: FC Honka 81%, draw 11%, GrIFK 8%.

How many goals are expected in FC Honka vs GrIFK?

The model expects 4.42 goals (FC Honka 3.21 · GrIFK 1.21), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Honka vs GrIFK?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.