Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 25/07, 15:00

Prediction: MuSa vs EPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.02Total

MuSa1.57

EPS2.45

1X2

23% 21% 56%

MuSa Draw EPS

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

MuSa 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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EPS 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDWLLLWW

Head-to-head

MuSa 0–1–2 EPS (3 last)

EPS6-1MuSa
EPS4-1MuSa
MuSa0-0EPS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MuSa 1455 · EPS 1491

	MuSa	Draw	EPS
Our model	23%	20%	56%
Market	23%	21%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 4.02 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours EPS: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MuSa	EPS
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.8	2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.1	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2.4	2.2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.90

X4.20

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.80

2 (-1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 4.15

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
10:06 +4’	3.90	4.20	1.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MuSa 0–1–2 EPS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	EPS	6-1 HT 2-0	MuSa
28/08/22 Finland Kakkonen Group B	EPS	4-1 HT 1-0	MuSa
09/06/22 Finland Kakkonen Group B	MuSa	0-0 HT 0-0	EPS

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	13	9	4	0	40	11	31
2	AIFK	13	9	3	1	30	11	30
3	Tampereen Ilves 2	13	6	6	1	36	22	24
4	HJS	13	6	4	3	21	17	22
5	P-Iirot	13	5	3	5	22	19	18
6	EPS	13	5	2	6	24	21	17
7	GrIFK	13	4	3	6	16	24	15
8	EBK	13	3	3	7	18	29	12
9	MuSa	13	2	3	8	16	39	9
10	NJS	13	0	1	12	8	38	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MuSa	EPS
HJS	1-2 L	3-1 W
GrIFK	3-1 W	1-3 L
FC Honka	1-7 L	1-2 L
P-Iirot	2-2 D	2-0 W
EBK	2-0 W	2-2 D
NJS	0-0 D	2-1 W
AIFK	2-4 L	1-2 L
Tampereen Ilves 2	3-4 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: EPS (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

MuSa

LLLLDWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	1-2	7	4	L
09/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	3-1	3	3	W
04/07	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-3	1-7	1	3	L
27/06	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	2-2	1	5	D
12/06	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	2-0	1	2	W
05/06	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
29/05	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	2-4	1	2	L
23/05	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-1	3-4	0	1	L
16/05	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	1-6	2	3	L
09/05	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-2	6	2	L

EPS

LWLDWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
11/07	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
05/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-3	2-4	6	5	L
27/06	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
13/06	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-2	3	7	L
06/06	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	3-1	4	5	W
29/05	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
22/05	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-2	7	3	L
16/05	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	6-1	8	3	W
13/05	FC Haka Finland Cup	0-1	0-4	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MuSa vs EPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is an EPS win (56%). Probabilities: MuSa 23%, draw 21%, EPS 56%.

How many goals are expected in MuSa vs EPS?

The model expects 4.02 goals (MuSa 1.57 · EPS 2.45), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MuSa vs EPS?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.