Prediction: EBK vs FC Honka

Team pages: EBK · FC Honka

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.42Total
EBK1.21
FC Honka3.21
1X2
9% 13% 78%
EBK Draw FC Honka
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
EBK 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLWDLLLW
FC Honka 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWDDWLWW
Head-to-head
EBK 2–1–2 FC Honka (5 last)
  • FC Honka4-1EBK
  • EBK1-3FC Honka
  • EBK4-1FC Honka
  • EBK4-1FC Honka
  • FC Honka0-0EBK
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EBK 1445 · FC Honka 1559
EBKDrawFC Honka
Our model10%14%76%
Market8%11%80%
Estimated total (ours) 4.42 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Honka (rating 1445 vs 1559).
  • High corners: 14.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

EBKFC Honka
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 2.93.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 11.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 7.43.2 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.73.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · EBK 212 FC Honka

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/06/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
FC Honka4-1
HT 1-0
EBK
07/05/25
Finland Cup
EBK1-3
HT 0-1
FC Honka
22/09/24
Finland Kakkonen Group B
EBK4-1
HT 1-0
FC Honka
29/06/24
Finland Kakkonen Group B
EBK4-1
HT 3-1
FC Honka
24/04/24
Finland Kakkonen Group B
FC Honka0-0
HT 0-0
EBK

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Honka 171241 541740
2 AIFK 171133 361736
3 HJS 17944 302231
4 Tampereen Ilves 2 17863 492730
5 EPS 17926 372629
6 P-Iirot 17836 292327
7 GrIFK 17638 202921
8 EBK 174310 274115
9 MuSa 172312 17549
10 NJS 170116 9521

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEBKFC Honka
MuSa 4-0 W 7-1 W
EPS 1-5 L 2-3 L
GrIFK 1-2 L 2-1 W
HJS 3-5 L 1-1 D
P-Iirot 1-1 D 3-2 W
NJS 3-1 W 7-0 W
AIFK 1-6 L 1-0 W
Tampereen Ilves 2 2-3 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 5 L 5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Honka (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EBK

LLLLWDLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 4-0 W
08/08 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-2 1-5 45 L
31/07 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 1-2 1010 L
24/07 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-1 3-5 50 L
18/07 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 1-1 74 D
11/07 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 3-1 134 W
02/07 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-3 1-6 34 L
28/06 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 2-3 73 L
12/06 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-2 0-2 162 L
06/06 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 1-4 27 L

FC Honka

LWWWDDWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-0 3-2 104 W
08/08 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
3-0 7-0 90 W
01/08 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-2 2-3 34 L
25/07 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-0 2-1 96 W
18/07 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-2 2-2 114 D
13/07 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 1-1 93 D
04/07 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
3-1 7-1 53 W
26/06 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 1-0 77 W
13/06 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 5-1 84 W
09/06 HJK Helsinki
Finland Cup
1-4 1-7 13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EBK vs FC Honka?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Honka win (78%). Probabilities: EBK 9%, draw 13%, FC Honka 78%.

How many goals are expected in EBK vs FC Honka?

The model expects 4.42 goals (EBK 1.21 · FC Honka 3.21), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in EBK vs FC Honka?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.