Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 22/08, 14:00

Prediction: EPS vs HJS

Team pages: EPS · HJS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.58Total

EPS1.74

HJS1.84

1X2

36% 23% 40%

EPS Draw HJS

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

EPS 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWWWW

HJS 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDWLDWWWWL

Head-to-head

EPS 3–1–2 HJS (6 last)

HJS1-3EPS
EPS4-0HJS
HJS0-0EPS
HJS2-1EPS
EPS1-0HJS
EPS1-2HJS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EPS 1559 · HJS 1521

	EPS	Draw	HJS
Our model	36%	24%	40%
Market	36%	23%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours EPS: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	EPS	HJS
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.6	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.7	2.7 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.4	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.90

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.56 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:19 +5’	2.45	3.90	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:16 +1’	2.32	3.53	2.56

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · EPS 3–1–2 HJS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	HJS	1-3 HT 1-1	EPS
12/08/23 Finland Kakkonen Group B	EPS	4-0 HT 2-0	HJS
21/05/23 Finland Kakkonen Group B	HJS	0-0 HT 0-0	EPS
06/08/22 Finland Kakkonen Group B	HJS	2-1 HT 1-0	EPS
14/05/22 Finland Kakkonen Group B	EPS	1-0 HT 1-0	HJS
31/07/21 Finland Kakkonen Group B	EPS	1-2 HT 1-0	HJS

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	17	12	4	1	54	17	40
2	AIFK	17	11	3	3	36	17	36
3	HJS	17	9	4	4	30	22	31
4	Tampereen Ilves 2	17	8	6	3	49	27	30
5	EPS	17	9	2	6	37	26	29
6	P-Iirot	17	8	3	6	29	23	27
7	GrIFK	17	6	3	8	20	29	21
8	EBK	17	4	3	10	27	41	15
9	MuSa	17	2	3	12	17	54	9
10	NJS	17	0	1	16	9	52	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	EPS	HJS
AIFK	3-2 W	1-0 W
EBK	5-1 W	5-3 W
FC Honka	3-2 W	1-1 D
MuSa	2-0 W	2-1 W
NJS	2-1 W	3-0 W
P-Iirot	2-0 W	0-3 L
Tampereen Ilves 2	2-4 L	3-1 W
GrIFK	1-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: EPS (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EPS

WLLLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-0	3-2	5	8	W
08/08	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	5-1	4	5	W
01/08	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	3-2	3	4	W
25/07	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
18/07	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
11/07	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
05/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-3	2-4	6	5	L
27/06	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
13/06	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-2	3	7	L
06/06	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	3-1	4	5	W

HJS

LDWLDWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
08/08	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
31/07	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
24/07	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	5-3	5	0	W
18/07	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	2-1	7	4	W
13/07	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
04/07	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-3	9	3	L
27/06	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	3-0	3	2	W
12/06	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-2	10	4	D
06/06	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-3	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EPS vs HJS?

According to our model, the most likely result is an HJS win (40%). Probabilities: EPS 36%, draw 23%, HJS 40%.

How many goals are expected in EPS vs HJS?

The model expects 3.58 goals (EPS 1.74 · HJS 1.84), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in EPS vs HJS?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.