Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 28/08, 17:30

Prediction: AIFK vs Tampereen Ilves 2

Team pages: AIFK · Tampereen Ilves 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.63Total

AIFK2.13

Tampereen Ilves 21.49

1X2

51% 23% 26%

AIFK Draw Tampereen Ilves 2

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

AIFK 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDWWLWLW

Tampereen Ilves 2 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDWDLWLWL

Head-to-head

AIFK 1–1–0 Tampereen Ilves 2 (2 last)

AIFK1-1Tampereen Ilves 2
Tampereen Ilves 21-2AIFK

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AIFK (rating 1552 vs 1511).
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AIFK	Tampereen Ilves 2
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.1	3.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	1.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	60/0/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6	3.1 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.3	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:49

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Pinn 1.73
X	3.88 → 3.88	Pinn 3.88
2	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
07:49 +1’	1.73	3.88	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AIFK 1–1–0 Tampereen Ilves 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	AIFK	1-1 HT 0-1	Tampereen Ilves 2
05/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Tampereen Ilves 2	1-2 HT 1-1	AIFK

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	18	13	4	1	56	17	43
2	AIFK	18	12	3	3	38	18	39
3	EPS	18	10	2	6	39	26	32
4	HJS	18	9	4	5	30	24	31
5	Tampereen Ilves 2	18	8	6	4	51	30	30
6	P-Iirot	18	8	3	7	30	25	27

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AIFK	Tampereen Ilves 2
P-Iirot	2-1 W	1-2 L
EPS	2-3 L	4-2 W
MuSa	2-1 W	7-0 W
HJS	0-1 L	1-3 L
NJS	2-1 W	4-0 W
GrIFK	1-0 W	2-3 L
EBK	6-1 W	3-2 W
FC Honka	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AIFK

WLWDWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	2-1	12	5	W
15/08	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-3	2-3	2	8	L
08/08	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	2-1	9	4	W
31/07	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
24/07	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	2-1	6	5	W
17/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
10/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
02/07	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-1	6-1	3	4	W
26/06	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
13/06	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	2-1	4	7	W

Tampereen Ilves 2

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-3	2-3	8	5	L
15/08	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	4-0	13	1	W
08/08	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-3	7	4	L
04/08	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	7-0	9	1	W
24/07	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	1-2	7	2	L
18/07	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	2-2	0	4	D
14/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	6-2	5	6	W
10/07	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
05/07	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-1	4-2	4	5	W
28/06	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	3-2	1	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AIFK vs Tampereen Ilves 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AIFK win (51%). Probabilities: AIFK 51%, draw 23%, Tampereen Ilves 2 26%.

How many goals are expected in AIFK vs Tampereen Ilves 2?

The model expects 3.63 goals (AIFK 2.13 · Tampereen Ilves 2 1.49), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AIFK vs Tampereen Ilves 2?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.