Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 28/08, 16:30

Prediction: FC Honka vs P-Iirot

Team pages: FC Honka · P-Iirot

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.93Total

FC Honka2.97

P-Iirot0.97

1X2

78% 14% 8%

FC Honka Draw P-Iirot

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-0 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Honka 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDDWLWWW

P-Iirot 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Honka 3–1 P-Iirot (4 last)

FC Honka3-2P-Iirot
P-Iirot1-5FC Honka
FC Honka2-1P-Iirot
P-Iirot3-2FC Honka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Honka 1578 · P-Iirot 1497

	FC Honka	Draw	P-Iirot
Our model	77%	14%	9%
Market	79%	13%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 3.93 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Honka (rating 1578 vs 1497).
H2H favours FC Honka: 3-0-1.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Honka	P-Iirot
Goals for / against (FT)	3.2 / 1.1	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 7.7	2.5 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	3.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.17

X7.00

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.90

2 (+2.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 41.88

Under 41.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 00:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.17▼	Bet365 1.17
X	6.25 → 7.00▲	Bet365 7.00
2	9.50 → 11.00▲	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 9.1% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
18:57 +14’	1.18	6.25	9.50
21:37 +7’	1.20▲	6.00▼	9.00▼
00:23 +5’	1.17▼	7.00▲	11.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:43 +1’	1.14	7.28	10.91
00:27 +1’	1.14▲	7.22▼	10.83▼
03:29 +1’	1.15▲	7.11▼	10.54▼
05:14	1.16▲	6.88▼	10.01▼
07:47 +1’	1.16▼	6.99▲	10.27▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Honka 3–0–1 P-Iirot

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	FC Honka	3-2 HT 2-0	P-Iirot
13/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	P-Iirot	1-5 HT 0-1	FC Honka
07/06/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	FC Honka	2-1 HT 0-0	P-Iirot
06/04/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	P-Iirot	3-2 HT 1-0	FC Honka

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	18	13	4	1	56	17	43
2	AIFK	18	12	3	3	38	18	39
3	EPS	18	10	2	6	39	26	32
4	HJS	18	9	4	5	30	24	31
5	Tampereen Ilves 2	18	8	6	4	51	30	30
6	P-Iirot	18	8	3	7	30	25	27

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Honka	P-Iirot
EBK	2-0 W	1-1 D
NJS	7-0 W	1-0 W
EPS	2-3 L	0-2 L
GrIFK	2-1 W	2-0 W
Tampereen Ilves 2	2-2 D	2-1 W
HJS	1-1 D	3-0 W
MuSa	7-1 W	2-2 D
AIFK	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Honka (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Honka

WWWDDWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
15/08	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	3-2	10	4	W
08/08	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-0	7-0	9	0	W
01/08	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	2-3	3	4	L
25/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	2-1	9	6	W
18/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	2-2	11	4	D
13/07	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-1	9	3	D
04/07	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-1	7-1	5	3	W
26/06	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
13/06	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	5-1	8	4	W

P-Iirot

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
15/08	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	2-3	5	4	L
08/08	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
01/08	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-0	8	3	W
24/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	2-1	5	2	W
18/07	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
11/07	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
04/07	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	3-0	9	3	W
27/06	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	2-2	4	5	D
13/06	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-5	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Honka vs P-Iirot?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Honka win (78%). Probabilities: FC Honka 78%, draw 14%, P-Iirot 8%.

How many goals are expected in FC Honka vs P-Iirot?

The model expects 3.93 goals (FC Honka 2.97 · P-Iirot 0.97), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Honka vs P-Iirot?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.