Prediction: EPS vs HJS

Team pages: EPS · HJS

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.43Total
EPS1.85
HJS1.58
1X2
44% 24% 33%
EPS Draw HJS
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
EPS 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
LLLWWWWWWW
HJS 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWLDWWWWLL
Head-to-head
EPS 4–1–1 HJS (6 last)
  • EPS2-0HJS
  • HJS1-3EPS
  • EPS4-0HJS
  • HJS0-0EPS
  • HJS2-1EPS
  • EPS1-0HJS
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EPS 1571 · HJS 1510
EPSDrawHJS
Our model44%24%32%
Market44%23%33%
Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EPS (rating 1571 vs 1510).
  • H2H favours EPS: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

EPSHJS
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 1.51.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.70.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.82.8 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.33.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · EPS 411 HJS

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/08/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
EPS2-0
HT 0-0
HJS
06/06/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
HJS1-3
HT 1-1
EPS
12/08/23
Finland Kakkonen Group B
EPS4-0
HT 2-0
HJS
21/05/23
Finland Kakkonen Group B
HJS0-0
HT 0-0
EPS
06/08/22
Finland Kakkonen Group B
HJS2-1
HT 1-0
EPS
14/05/22
Finland Kakkonen Group B
EPS1-0
HT 1-0
HJS

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Honka 181341 561743
2 AIFK 181233 381839
3 EPS 181026 392632
4 HJS 18945 302431
5 Tampereen Ilves 2 18864 513030
6 P-Iirot 18837 302527

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEPSHJS
AIFK 3-2 W 1-0 W
EBK 5-1 W 5-3 W
FC Honka 3-2 W 1-1 D
MuSa 2-0 W 2-1 W
NJS 2-1 W 3-0 W
P-Iirot 2-0 W 0-3 L
Tampereen Ilves 2 2-4 L 3-1 W
GrIFK 1-3 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 6 W 0 D 2 L 5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: EPS (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EPS

LLLWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 2-0 54 W
15/08 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
3-0 3-2 58 W
08/08 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-0 5-1 45 W
01/08 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-1 3-2 34 W
25/07 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 2-0 63 W
18/07 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 2-1 32 W
11/07 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 2-0 64 W
05/07 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-3 2-4 65 L
27/06 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 1-3 73 L
13/06 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 1-2 37 L

HJS

DWLDWWWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 0-2 44 L
15/08 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 0-1 76 L
08/08 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 3-1 34 W
31/07 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 1-0 23 W
24/07 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-2 5-3 50 W
18/07 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-1 2-1 74 W
13/07 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 1-1 53 D
04/07 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-3 93 L
27/06 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-0 3-0 32 W
12/06 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 2-2 104 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EPS vs HJS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a EPS win (44%). Probabilities: EPS 44%, draw 24%, HJS 33%.

How many goals are expected in EPS vs HJS?

The model expects 3.43 goals (EPS 1.85 · HJS 1.58), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in EPS vs HJS?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.