Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: FF Jaro II vs Huima/Urho

Team pages: FF Jaro II · Huima/Urho

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.96Total

FF Jaro II1.67

Huima/Urho2.29

1X2

28% 21% 51%

FF Jaro II Draw Huima/Urho

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

FF Jaro II 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Huima/Urho 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FF Jaro II 0–1 Huima/Urho (1 last)

Huima/Urho7-1FF Jaro II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FF Jaro II 1448 · Huima/Urho 1575

	FF Jaro II	Draw	Huima/Urho
Our model	27%	21%	51%
Market	28%	21%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 3.96 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Huima/Urho (rating 1448 vs 1575).
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FF Jaro II	Huima/Urho
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 3.3	2.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.7	1.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.4	4.2 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.25

X4.33

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 41.80

Under 42.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 2.75▼	Bet365 2.75
X	4.33 → 4.10▼	Bet365 4.10
2	1.75 → 2.00▲	Pinn 2.01 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.8% Pinnacle margin 13.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:35 +6’	3.25	4.33	1.75
19:42 +11’	2.75▼	4.10▼	2.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:52	2.75	3.68	2.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FF Jaro II 0–0–1 Huima/Urho

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	Huima/Urho	7-1 HT 3-1	FF Jaro II

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huima/Urho	16	9	3	4	41	23	30
2	GBK	16	9	1	6	38	31	28
3	JBK	16	8	1	7	32	24	25
4	FF Jaro II	16	8	1	7	30	45	25
5	VPS-J	16	6	4	6	43	31	22
6	Narpes Kraft	16	7	1	8	47	40	22
7	TP-47	16	5	5	6	24	29	20
8	FC Vaajakoski	16	6	2	8	31	39	20
9	JS Hercules	16	5	3	8	27	38	18
10	SJK Akatemia II	16	5	3	8	25	38	18

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FF Jaro II	Huima/Urho
JBK	1-3 L	3-2 W
VPS-J	0-5 L	1-3 L
GBK	1-1 D	3-0 W
TP-47	2-0 W	4-0 W
FC Vaajakoski	2-5 L	1-0 W
SJK Akatemia II	2-3 L	4-0 W
Narpes Kraft	0-8 L	3-1 W
JS Hercules	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Huima/Urho (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FF Jaro II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	1-3	2	5	L
03/08	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-5	3	0	L
22/07	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
18/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	2-0	2	1	W
12/07	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-3	2-5	4	3	L
08/07	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	2-3	7	6	L
04/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-4	0-8	6	1	L
14/06	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	2-1	7	4	W
06/06	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-3	1-7	3	2	L
29/05	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-0	6	5	W

Huima/Urho

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
01/08	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	4-0	1	4	W
25/07	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-0	4-0	3	2	W
17/07	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
11/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-0	11	3	D
05/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-3	8	4	L
27/06	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
14/06	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	3-1	7	5	W
06/06	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-1	7-1	9	2	W
29/05	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-2	11	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FF Jaro II vs Huima/Urho?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Huima/Urho win (51%). Probabilities: FF Jaro II 28%, draw 21%, Huima/Urho 51%.

How many goals are expected in FF Jaro II vs Huima/Urho?

The model expects 3.96 goals (FF Jaro II 1.67 · Huima/Urho 2.29), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FF Jaro II vs Huima/Urho?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.