Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 22/08, 14:00

Prediction: SJK Akatemia II vs JBK

Team pages: SJK Akatemia II · JBK

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.64Total

SJK Akatemia II1.62

JBK2.02

1X2

31% 22% 47%

SJK Akatemia II Draw JBK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SJK Akatemia II 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWDLLLDD

JBK 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LDWLWLWWWW

Head-to-head

SJK Akatemia II 0–6 JBK (6 last)

JBK3-0SJK Akatemia II
SJK Akatemia II0-1JBK
JBK1-0SJK Akatemia II
SJK Akatemia II1-3JBK
JBK2-1SJK Akatemia II
SJK Akatemia II1-2JBK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SJK Akatemia II 1452 · JBK 1543

	SJK Akatemia II	Draw	JBK
Our model	31%	23%	46%
Market	31%	21%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JBK (rating 1452 vs 1543).
H2H favours JBK: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SJK Akatemia II	JBK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.7	2.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.4	1.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.1	2.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.88

X4.20

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.88

Under 3.751.93

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.91 → 1.91	Pinn 2.05 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
07:13 +85’	2.88	4.20	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:27 +11’	3.03	3.84	1.94
10:41 +1’	2.80▼	3.85▲	2.05▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SJK Akatemia II 0–0–6 JBK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JBK	3-0 HT 2-0	SJK Akatemia II
15/09/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	0-1 HT 0-0	JBK
16/08/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JBK	1-0 HT 0-0	SJK Akatemia II
15/06/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	1-3 HT 1-3	JBK
14/09/24 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JBK	2-1 HT 1-0	SJK Akatemia II
13/07/24 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	1-2 HT 1-0	JBK

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huima/Urho	17	10	3	4	47	25	33
2	GBK	17	9	2	6	39	32	29
3	JBK	17	9	1	7	36	24	28
4	VPS-J	17	7	4	6	46	32	25
5	FF Jaro II	17	8	1	8	32	51	25
6	Narpes Kraft	17	7	2	8	49	42	23
7	FC Vaajakoski	17	6	3	8	32	40	21
8	TP-47	17	5	5	7	24	33	20
9	SJK Akatemia II	17	5	4	8	27	40	19
10	JS Hercules	17	5	3	9	28	41	18

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SJK Akatemia II	JBK
Narpes Kraft	2-2 D	4-2 W
JS Hercules	2-2 D	3-5 L
Huima/Urho	0-4 L	2-3 L
VPS-J	2-6 L	2-0 W
TP-47	0-0 D	4-0 W
FF Jaro II	3-2 W	3-1 W
FC Vaajakoski	3-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: JBK (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SJK Akatemia II

LLWWDLLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-2	7	7	D
09/08	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
01/08	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-4	6	1	L
25/07	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	0-4	1	2	L
19/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-3	2-6	1	7	L
12/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
08/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	4	6	W
30/06	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-0	6	3	W
12/06	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-3	5	5	L
06/06	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	0-4	5	4	L

JBK

LDWLWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	4-0	7	7	W
07/08	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-1	3	5	W
01/08	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-0	4-0	7	3	W
25/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-0	1	9	W
18/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-3	3-5	5	3	L
07/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	4-2	8	5	W
27/06	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
12/06	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-0	5	5	W
06/06	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
29/05	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-3	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SJK Akatemia II vs JBK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an JBK win (47%). Probabilities: SJK Akatemia II 31%, draw 22%, JBK 47%.

How many goals are expected in SJK Akatemia II vs JBK?

The model expects 3.64 goals (SJK Akatemia II 1.62 · JBK 2.02), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SJK Akatemia II vs JBK?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.