Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 22/08, 14:00

Prediction: Huima/Urho vs Narpes Kraft

Team pages: Huima/Urho · Narpes Kraft

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.49Total

Huima/Urho2.97

Narpes Kraft1.53

1X2

66% 17% 17%

Huima/Urho Draw Narpes Kraft

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Huima/Urho 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Narpes Kraft 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Huima/Urho 1–0 Narpes Kraft (1 last)

Narpes Kraft1-3Huima/Urho

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Huima/Urho 1589 · Narpes Kraft 1483

	Huima/Urho	Draw	Narpes Kraft
Our model	66%	17%	17%
Market	66%	18%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 4.49 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Huima/Urho (rating 1589 vs 1483).
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Huima/Urho	Narpes Kraft
Goals for / against (FT)	3.2 / 0.9	2.8 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.6	1.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.8	2.5 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.36

X5.00

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.88

2 (+1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.82

Under 4.251.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 4.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.37 ★
2	5.50 → 5.50	Pinn 5.59

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
08:30 +10’	1.36	5.00	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:27 +12’	1.35	5.37	5.59

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Huima/Urho 1–0–0 Narpes Kraft

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	Narpes Kraft	1-3 HT 1-1	Huima/Urho

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huima/Urho	17	10	3	4	47	25	33
2	GBK	17	9	2	6	39	32	29
3	JBK	17	9	1	7	36	24	28
4	VPS-J	17	7	4	6	46	32	25
5	FF Jaro II	17	8	1	8	32	51	25
6	Narpes Kraft	17	7	2	8	49	42	23
7	FC Vaajakoski	17	6	3	8	32	40	21
8	TP-47	17	5	5	7	24	33	20
9	SJK Akatemia II	17	5	4	8	27	40	19
10	JS Hercules	17	5	3	9	28	41	18

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Huima/Urho	Narpes Kraft
FF Jaro II	6-2 W	8-0 W
GBK	3-0 W	2-6 L
TP-47	4-0 W	1-2 L
SJK Akatemia II	4-0 W	2-2 D
FC Vaajakoski	1-0 W	2-3 L
JS Hercules	0-0 D	3-2 W
VPS-J	1-3 L	3-2 W
JBK	3-2 W	2-4 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Huima/Urho (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Huima/Urho

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	6-2	2	2	W
08/08	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
01/08	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	4-0	1	4	W
25/07	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-0	4-0	3	2	W
17/07	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
11/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-0	11	3	D
05/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-3	8	4	L
27/06	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
14/06	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	3-1	7	5	W
06/06	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-1	7-1	9	2	W

Narpes Kraft

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	2-2	7	7	D
08/08	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-2	1	4	L
01/08	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	6	5	W
26/07	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	2-3	9	4	L
15/07	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	2-6	3	4	L
12/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-2	7	4	W
07/07	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	2-4	7	5	L
04/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	4-0	8-0	3	1	W
14/06	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-3	8	5	L
06/06	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-0	4-0	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Huima/Urho vs Narpes Kraft?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Huima/Urho win (66%). Probabilities: Huima/Urho 66%, draw 17%, Narpes Kraft 17%.

How many goals are expected in Huima/Urho vs Narpes Kraft?

The model expects 4.49 goals (Huima/Urho 2.97 · Narpes Kraft 1.53), with a 52% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Huima/Urho vs Narpes Kraft?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.