Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 20/08, 22:30
Prediction: CD Cuenca Jrs vs Gualaceo SC
Team pages: CD Cuenca Jrs · Gualaceo SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.86Total
CD Cuenca Jrs1.28
Gualaceo SC0.58
1X2
CD Cuenca Jrs
Draw
Gualaceo SC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
CD Cuenca Jrs
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Gualaceo SC
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Cuenca Jrs
1–0
Gualaceo SC
(1 last)
- Gualaceo SC0-1CD Cuenca Jrs
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Cuenca Jrs 1526 · Gualaceo SC 1472
| CD Cuenca Jrs | Draw | Gualaceo SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 32% | 16% |
| Market | 55% | 27% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.86 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Cuenca Jrs (rating 1526 vs 1472).
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Cuenca Jrs | Gualaceo SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/33/22% | 13/75/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.2 | 2.4 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0 | 5.4 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Cuenca Jrs 1–0–0 Gualaceo SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Gualaceo SC | 0-1 | CD Cuenca Jrs |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Juniors | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 38 |
| 2 | Club 9 de Octubre | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 36 |
| 3 | Atletico FC Guayaquil | 21 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 35 |
| 4 | CD Cuenca Jrs | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 34 |
| 5 | Vinotinto Ecuador | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 17 | 30 |
| 6 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 30 |
| 7 | Cumbaya | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 26 |
| 8 | CD Vargas Torres | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 24 |
| 9 | LDU Portoviejo | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 24 |
| 10 | Gualaceo SC | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 16 | 20 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 29 | 9 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 31 | 8 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Cuenca Jrs | Gualaceo SC |
|---|---|---|
| 22 de Julio | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Vinotinto Ecuador | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Cumbaya | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| LDU Portoviejo | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Independiente Juniors | 0-4 L | 2-3 L |
| El Nacional | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Macara | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Cuenca Jrs
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 30/07 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 24/07 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/07 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/07 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 03/07 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/06 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 05/06 | Macara Ecuador Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
Gualaceo SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 06/08 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 29/07 | Macara Ecuador Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 24/07 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 01/07 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 10/06 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Cuenca Jrs vs Gualaceo SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Cuenca Jrs win (54%). Probabilities: CD Cuenca Jrs 54%, draw 29%, Gualaceo SC 17%.
How many goals are expected in CD Cuenca Jrs vs Gualaceo SC?
The model expects 1.86 goals (CD Cuenca Jrs 1.28 · Gualaceo SC 0.58), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Cuenca Jrs vs Gualaceo SC?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.