Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 15/08, 17:00

Prediction: FC Vaajakoski vs GBK

Team pages: FC Vaajakoski · GBK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.1Total

FC Vaajakoski2.02

GBK2.08

1X2

38% 22% 40%

FC Vaajakoski Draw GBK

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Vaajakoski 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLDWLWLW

GBK 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWDWL

Head-to-head

FC Vaajakoski 4–2 GBK (6 last)

GBK0-1FC Vaajakoski
FC Vaajakoski5-1GBK
GBK1-0FC Vaajakoski
FC Vaajakoski2-4GBK
GBK1-3FC Vaajakoski
GBK0-4FC Vaajakoski

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Vaajakoski 1518 · GBK 1558

	FC Vaajakoski	Draw	GBK
Our model	38%	22%	40%
Market	38%	22%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 4.1 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GBK (rating 1518 vs 1558).
H2H favours FC Vaajakoski: 4-0-2.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Vaajakoski	GBK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2	3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.3	1.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.2	2.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.38

X4.00

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 41.88

Under 41.93

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.20▼	Bet365 2.20
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.07
2	2.25 → 2.40▲	Pinn 2.60 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:48 +6’	2.38	4.00	2.25
20:48 +10’	2.20▼	4.00	2.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:55 +2’	2.10	4.07	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Vaajakoski 4–0–2 GBK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	GBK	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Vaajakoski
09/08/23 Finland Kakkonen Group C	FC Vaajakoski	5-1 HT 4-1	GBK
06/05/23 Finland Kakkonen Group C	GBK	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Vaajakoski
20/07/22 Finland Kakkonen Group C	FC Vaajakoski	2-4 HT 0-3	GBK
08/05/22 Finland Kakkonen Group C	GBK	1-3 HT 1-0	FC Vaajakoski
17/07/21 Finland Kakkonen Group C	GBK	0-4 HT 0-3	FC Vaajakoski

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huima/Urho	16	9	3	4	41	23	30
2	GBK	16	9	1	6	38	31	28
3	JBK	16	8	1	7	32	24	25
4	FF Jaro II	16	8	1	7	30	45	25
5	VPS-J	16	6	4	6	43	31	22
6	Narpes Kraft	16	7	1	8	47	40	22
7	TP-47	16	5	5	6	24	29	20
8	FC Vaajakoski	16	6	2	8	31	39	20
9	JS Hercules	16	5	3	8	27	38	18
10	SJK Akatemia II	16	5	3	8	25	38	18

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Vaajakoski	GBK
VPS-J	3-2 W	4-3 W
JBK	0-4 L	2-0 W
Narpes Kraft	3-2 W	6-2 W
Huima/Urho	0-1 L	0-3 L
FF Jaro II	5-2 W	1-1 D
JS Hercules	2-2 D	7-0 W
SJK Akatemia II	0-3 L	4-2 W
TP-47	3-2 W	4-3 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: GBK (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Vaajakoski

DWWLDWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	6	4	W
01/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	0-4	5	3	L
26/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	3-2	6	4	W
17/07	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
12/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-1	5-2	6	3	W
04/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	2-2	5	2	D
30/06	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
14/06	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	13	7	W
06/06	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
27/05	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	2-2	2	3	D

GBK

WLWWWWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
01/08	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	4-2	4	1	W
22/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
15/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	6-2	4	4	W
10/07	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	2-0	4	6	W
04/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	4-3	–	–	W
27/06	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	5-0	7-0	6	2	W
14/06	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	4-3	3	1	W
06/06	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
29/05	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	2-1	8	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Vaajakoski vs GBK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an GBK win (40%). Probabilities: FC Vaajakoski 38%, draw 22%, GBK 40%.

How many goals are expected in FC Vaajakoski vs GBK?

The model expects 4.1 goals (FC Vaajakoski 2.02 · GBK 2.08), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Vaajakoski vs GBK?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.