Prediction: Puiu vs Reipas

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
Puiu1.45
Reipas1.81
1X2
31% 24% 46%
Puiu Draw Reipas
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Puiu 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLDLLW
Reipas 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWWLWLWLLD
Head-to-head
Puiu 1–1–3 Reipas (5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Puiu 1426 · Reipas 1489
PuiuDrawReipas
Our model30%25%45%
Market31%23%46%
Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reipas (rating 1426 vs 1489).
  • H2H favours Reipas: 3-1-1.
  • High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PuiuReipas
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 2.62 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 1.61 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/20/60%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.72.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.14.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Puiu 113 Reipas

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/05/26
Finland Kakkonen Group A
Reipas3-1
HT 3-0
Puiu
03/08/25
Finland Kakkonen Group A
Reipas0-1
HT 0-0
Puiu
01/06/25
Finland Kakkonen Group A
Puiu1-1
HT 0-0
Reipas
08/09/17
Finland Kolmonen
Puiu2-4
HT 1-1
Reipas
01/06/17
Finland Kolmonen
Reipas6-1
HT 2-0
Puiu

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kiffen 12813 292125
2 HIFK 2 12732 261324
3 PEPO 12642 201622
4 HPS 12624 231920
5 Reipas 12525 252117
6 Atlantis 12516 342816
7 PPJ 12372 231816
8 Puiu 12327 142511
9 MyPa 12327 122311
10 Union Plaani 12129 11335

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPuiuReipas
PPJ 4-1 W 0-3 L
Union Plaani 1-2 L 4-2 W
HPS 0-2 L 2-3 L
MyPa 1-1 D 5-0 W
Kiffen 0-2 L 2-3 L
HIFK 2 0-2 L 1-1 D
Atlantis 0-8 L 1-0 W
PEPO 1-2 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 6 L 3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Reipas (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Puiu

LLLLLLDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 PPJ
Finland Kakkonen Group A
2-0 4-1 54 W
04/07 Union Plaani
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-1 1-2 74 L
27/06 HPS
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 0-2 83 L
13/06 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 1-1 64 D
08/06 Kiffen
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-2 0-2 65 L
29/05 HIFK 2
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 0-2 28 L
22/05 Atlantis
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-6 0-8 26 L
16/05 PEPO
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-2 1-2 L
13/05 IFK Mariehamn
Finland Cup
0-1 0-3 61 L
08/05 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-3 1-3 95 L

Reipas

LWWLWLWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 HIFK 2
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 1-1 84 D
04/07 HPS
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-2 2-3 34 L
27/06 Kiffen
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-2 2-3 64 L
13/06 Union Plaani
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-1 4-2 W
04/06 PEPO
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 1-2 43 L
31/05 Atlantis
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 1-0 44 W
22/05 PPJ
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-2 0-3 23 L
16/05 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
4-0 5-0 86 W
08/05 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
3-0 3-1 55 W
03/05 HIFK 2
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 1-2 94 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Puiu vs Reipas?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Reipas win (46%). Probabilities: Puiu 31%, draw 24%, Reipas 46%.

How many goals are expected in Puiu vs Reipas?

The model expects 3.27 goals (Puiu 1.45 · Reipas 1.81), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Puiu vs Reipas?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.