Prediction: Kiffen vs PEPO

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.44Total
Kiffen2
PEPO1.44
1X2
50% 23% 27%
Kiffen Draw PEPO
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kiffen 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
WLDWWWWWWW
PEPO 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLWDDWLDLW
Head-to-head
Kiffen 1–1–4 PEPO (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kiffen 1596 · PEPO 1519
KiffenDrawPEPO
Our model50%24%27%
Market50%23%27%
Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kiffen (rating 1596 vs 1519).
  • H2H favours PEPO: 4-1-1.
  • High corners: 13 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KiffenPEPO
Goals for / against (FT)2.7 / 1.41.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.20.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/20/10%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 5.23.6 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 04.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kiffen 114 PEPO

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
Finland Kakkonen Group A
PEPO2-1
HT 0-0
Kiffen
22/09/24
Finland Kakkonen Group A
Kiffen1-1
HT 0-0
PEPO
07/07/24
Finland Kakkonen Group A
PEPO2-0
HT 1-0
Kiffen
13/06/24
Finland Kakkonen Group A
Kiffen1-2
HT 1-2
PEPO
27/08/23
Finland Kakkonen Group A
PEPO3-0
HT 2-0
Kiffen
04/06/23
Finland Kakkonen Group A
Kiffen4-1
HT 2-1
PEPO

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kiffen 12813 292125
2 HIFK 2 12732 261324
3 PEPO 12642 201622
4 HPS 12624 231920
5 Reipas 12525 252117
6 Atlantis 12516 342816
7 PPJ 12372 231816
8 Puiu 12327 142511
9 MyPa 12327 122311
10 Union Plaani 12129 11335

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKiffenPEPO
Atlantis 5-3 W 1-5 L
PPJ 2-1 W 2-2 D
Reipas 3-2 W 2-1 W
HPS 2-1 W 2-0 W
Puiu 2-0 W 2-1 W
Union Plaani 2-0 W 1-1 D
MyPa 3-1 W 0-0 D
HIFK 2 3-3 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 7 W 1 D 0 L 3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kiffen (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kiffen

WLDWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/07 Atlantis
Finland Kakkonen Group A
3-0 5-3 24 W
02/07 PPJ
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 2-1 36 W
27/06 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
2-1 3-2 54 W
12/06 HPS
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 2-1 85 W
08/06 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
2-0 2-0 85 W
29/05 Union Plaani
Finland Kakkonen Group A
2-0 2-0 84 W
23/05 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 3-1 45 W
18/05 HIFK 2
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 3-3 78 D
09/05 PEPO
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 1-2 46 L
02/05 Atlantis
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 4-1 34 W

PEPO

WLWDDWLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 HPS
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 2-0 114 W
04/07 Atlantis
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-3 1-5 45 L
27/06 PPJ
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-1 2-2 55 D
13/06 HIFK 2
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 1-2 95 L
04/06 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 2-1 73 W
29/05 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 0-0 104 D
23/05 Union Plaani
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 1-1 114 D
16/05 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
2-1 2-1 W
12/05 SJK
Finland Cup
0-2 0-3 34 L
09/05 Kiffen
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 2-1 106 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kiffen vs PEPO?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kiffen win (50%). Probabilities: Kiffen 50%, draw 23%, PEPO 27%.

How many goals are expected in Kiffen vs PEPO?

The model expects 3.44 goals (Kiffen 2 · PEPO 1.44), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kiffen vs PEPO?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.