Prediction: Kiffen vs PEPO
| Kiffen | Draw | PEPO | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 24% | 27% |
| Market | 50% | 23% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kiffen (rating 1596 vs 1519).
- H2H favours PEPO: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kiffen | PEPO | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.2 | 3.6 / 7.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kiffen 1–1–4 PEPO
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A | PEPO | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Kiffen |
| 22/09/24 Finland Kakkonen Group A | Kiffen | 1-1 HT 0-0 | PEPO |
| 07/07/24 Finland Kakkonen Group A | PEPO | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Kiffen |
| 13/06/24 Finland Kakkonen Group A | Kiffen | 1-2 HT 1-2 | PEPO |
| 27/08/23 Finland Kakkonen Group A | PEPO | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Kiffen |
| 04/06/23 Finland Kakkonen Group A | Kiffen | 4-1 HT 2-1 | PEPO |
Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kiffen | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 21 | 25 |
| 2 | HIFK 2 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 24 |
| 3 | PEPO | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 16 | 22 |
| 4 | HPS | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 20 |
| 5 | Reipas | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 17 |
| 6 | Atlantis | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 16 |
| 7 | PPJ | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 16 |
| 8 | Puiu | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 11 |
| 9 | MyPa | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 23 | 11 |
| 10 | Union Plaani | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kiffen | PEPO |
|---|---|---|
| Atlantis | 5-3 W | 1-5 L |
| PPJ | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Reipas | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| HPS | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Puiu | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Union Plaani | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| MyPa | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| HIFK 2 | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 7 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Kiffen (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kiffen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A |
3-0 | 5-3 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 02/07 | PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 27/06 | Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/06 | HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 08/06 | Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/05 | HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 09/05 | PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
PEPO
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 04/06 | Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/05 | SJK Finland Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kiffen vs PEPO?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kiffen win (50%). Probabilities: Kiffen 50%, draw 23%, PEPO 27%.
How many goals are expected in Kiffen vs PEPO?
The model expects 3.44 goals (Kiffen 2 · PEPO 1.44), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Kiffen vs PEPO?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

