Prediction: Union Plaani vs Atlantis
| Union Plaani | Draw | Atlantis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 19% | 56% |
| Market | 24% | 20% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atlantis (rating 1411 vs 1519).
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Plaani | Atlantis | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.5 | 3.3 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.7 | 3.1 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Plaani 0–0–1 Atlantis
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A | Atlantis | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Union Plaani |
Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kiffen | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 21 | 25 |
| 2 | HIFK 2 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 24 |
| 3 | PEPO | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 16 | 22 |
| 4 | HPS | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 20 |
| 5 | Reipas | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 17 |
| 6 | Atlantis | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 16 |
| 7 | PPJ | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 16 |
| 8 | Puiu | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 11 |
| 9 | MyPa | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 23 | 11 |
| 10 | Union Plaani | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Plaani | Atlantis |
|---|---|---|
| MyPa | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Puiu | 2-1 W | 8-0 W |
| HIFK 2 | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Reipas | 2-4 L | 0-1 L |
| HPS | 0-2 L | 3-4 L |
| Kiffen | 0-2 L | 3-5 L |
| PEPO | 1-1 D | 5-1 W |
| PPJ | 2-2 D | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Atlantis (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Plaani
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 04/07 | Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Atlantis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 11/06 | PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A |
6-0 | 8-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-4 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A |
3-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Plaani vs Atlantis?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Atlantis win (56%). Probabilities: Union Plaani 24%, draw 20%, Atlantis 56%.
How many goals are expected in Union Plaani vs Atlantis?
The model expects 4.41 goals (Union Plaani 1.76 · Atlantis 2.65), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Plaani vs Atlantis?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.