Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 20/08, 23:10

Prediction: San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs Club 9 de Octubre

Team pages: San Antonio FC Cotacachi · Club 9 de Octubre

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.16Total

San Antonio FC Cotacachi1.08

Club 9 de Octubre1.08

1X2

34% 31% 34%

San Antonio FC Cotacachi Draw Club 9 de Octubre

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

San Antonio FC Cotacachi 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWLDLDWWW

Club 9 de Octubre 2-7-1 (W-D-L)

DDWDDDWDLD

Head-to-head

San Antonio FC Cotacachi 0–2–4 Club 9 de Octubre (6 last)

Club 9 de Octubre2-0San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Club 9 de Octubre1-1San Antonio FC Cotacachi
San Antonio FC Cotacachi2-2Club 9 de Octubre
Club 9 de Octubre1-0San Antonio FC Cotacachi
San Antonio FC Cotacachi1-2Club 9 de Octubre
Club 9 de Octubre2-1San Antonio FC Cotacachi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1509 · Club 9 de Octubre 1518

	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	Draw	Club 9 de Octubre
Our model	34%	32%	34%
Market	35%	31%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Club 9 de Octubre: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	Club 9 de Octubre
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.1	0.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/38/13%	22/67/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.3	1.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	5.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.55

X2.90

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.9%

Time*	1	X	2
22:36 +4’	2.55	2.90	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 0–2–4 Club 9 de Octubre

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Club 9 de Octubre	2-0 HT 1-0	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
01/10/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Club 9 de Octubre	1-1 HT 0-1	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
02/09/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	2-2 HT 2-0	Club 9 de Octubre
25/07/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Club 9 de Octubre	1-0 HT 1-0	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
16/05/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	1-2 HT 0-1	Club 9 de Octubre
09/10/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Club 9 de Octubre	2-1 HT 0-0	San Antonio FC Cotacachi

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Independiente Juniors	21	10	8	3	27	15	38
2	Club 9 de Octubre	21	9	9	3	22	14	36
3	Atletico FC Guayaquil	21	8	11	2	22	14	35
4	CD Cuenca Jrs	21	9	7	5	20	20	34
5	Vinotinto Ecuador	21	8	6	7	25	17	30
6	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	21	7	9	5	24	21	30
7	Cumbaya	21	5	11	5	22	19	26
8	CD Vargas Torres	21	6	9	6	17	16	24
9	LDU Portoviejo	21	6	6	9	15	22	24
10	Gualaceo SC	21	6	8	7	16	16	20
11	22 de Julio	21	4	3	14	10	29	9
12	El Nacional	21	2	5	14	14	31	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	Club 9 de Octubre
El Nacional	1-0 W	0-1 L
Gualaceo SC	2-1 W	0-0 D
Vinotinto Ecuador	1-0 W	2-1 W
Cumbaya	0-0 D	0-0 D
Atletico FC Guayaquil	1-4 L	0-0 D
CD Vargas Torres	1-1 D	0-0 D
CD Cuenca Jrs	0-1 L	3-3 D
LDU Portoviejo	4-2 W	1-1 D
Independiente Juniors	0-0 D	2-2 D
22 de Julio	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 3 L	2 W 7 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Antonio FC Cotacachi

LDWLDLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/08	El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	9	3	W
06/08	Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/07	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	0	4	W
22/07	Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
16/07	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-1	1-4	2	6	L
11/07	CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-1	7	2	D
03/07	CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-1	0	4	L
10/06	LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	3-1	4-2	5	5	W
05/06	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
30/05	22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	0-2	–	–	L

Club 9 de Octubre

DDWDDDWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	2-2	–	–	D
06/08	El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-1	4	8	L
30/07	CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
25/07	22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	9	3	W
16/07	Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
11/07	Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
04/07	LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	1-1	1	8	D
09/06	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	2-0	2-1	2	7	W
03/06	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
30/05	CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-2	3-3	6	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs Club 9 de Octubre?

According to our model, the most likely result is a San Antonio FC Cotacachi win (34%). Probabilities: San Antonio FC Cotacachi 34%, draw 31%, Club 9 de Octubre 34%.

How many goals are expected in San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs Club 9 de Octubre?

The model expects 2.16 goals (San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1.08 · Club 9 de Octubre 1.08), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs Club 9 de Octubre?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.