Football · Australia Tasmania Super League Women · 22/08, 06:00

Prediction: South Hobart (W) vs Devonport City (W)

Team pages: South Hobart (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.54Total

South Hobart (W)0.77

Devonport City (W)2.77

1X2

7% 14% 79%

South Hobart (W) Draw Devonport City (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

South Hobart (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDWWWDLL

Devonport City (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWLWW

Head-to-head

South Hobart (W) 0–1–5 Devonport City (W) (6 last)

South Hobart (W)0-5Devonport City (W)
Devonport City (W)5-1South Hobart (W)
Devonport City (W)1-0South Hobart (W)
South Hobart (W)3-3Devonport City (W)
Devonport City (W)2-1South Hobart (W)
South Hobart (W)1-6Devonport City (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · South Hobart (W) 1457 · Devonport City (W) 1616

	South Hobart (W)	Draw	Devonport City (W)
Our model	7%	15%	78%
Market	8%	13%	79%

Estimated total (ours) 3.54 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Devonport City (W) (rating 1457 vs 1616).
H2H favours Devonport City (W): 5-1-0.
High corners: 14.1 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	South Hobart (W)	Devonport City (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.1	4.7 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	2.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	90/10/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.2	3.9 / 8.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1 / 0	1.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

112.00

X7.00

21.14

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.25)1.85

2 (-2.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 4.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	9.00 → 12.00▲	Bet365 12.00
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	1.17 → 1.14▼	Bet365 1.14

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.2%

Time*	1	X	2
07:29 +85’	9.00	7.00	1.17
10:44 +11’	12.00▲	7.00	1.14▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · South Hobart (W) 0–1–5 Devonport City (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women	South Hobart (W)	0-5 HT 0-1	Devonport City (W)
28/03/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women	Devonport City (W)	5-1 HT 2-1	South Hobart (W)
06/09/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women	Devonport City (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	South Hobart (W)
05/07/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women	South Hobart (W)	3-3 HT 2-0	Devonport City (W)
10/05/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women	Devonport City (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	South Hobart (W)
25/08/24 Australia Tasmania Super League Women	South Hobart (W)	1-6 HT 0-5	Devonport City (W)

Standings · Australia Tasmania Super League Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Devonport City (W)	18	17	0	1	87	7	51
2	Glenorchy Knights (W)	18	13	2	3	52	16	41
3	South Hobart (W)	17	9	2	6	45	28	29
4	Kingborough Lions (W)	17	7	3	7	32	37	24
5	Launceston United (W)	18	7	1	10	55	40	22
6	Taroona (W)	18	5	2	11	25	46	17
7	Launceston City (W)	17	4	4	9	21	57	16
8	Riverside Olympic (W)	17	0	2	15	7	93	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	South Hobart (W)	Devonport City (W)
Glenorchy Knights (W)	0-2 L	1-2 L
Kingborough Lions (W)	1-3 L	3-1 W
Taroona (W)	1-1 D	2-1 W
Launceston United (W)	4-1 W	5-0 W
Riverside Olympic (W)	5-0 W	9-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Devonport City (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

South Hobart (W)

LLLDWWWDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-2	0-2	3	1	L
08/08	Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-0	1-3	5	0	L
02/08	Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-1	1-1	3	1	D
19/07	Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-0	4-1	5	1	W
12/07	Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-0	5-0	9	1	W
28/06	Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
21/06	Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	2-0	2-2	2	0	D
14/06	Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-1	0-5	4	2	L
29/05	Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-2	2-4	7	0	L
23/05	Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	0-1	0-2	9	1	L

Devonport City (W)

WWWWWWWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	6-0	9-0	15	0	W
08/08	Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	4-0	9-0	7	2	W
01/08	Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-1	1-2	8	5	L
18/07	Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	2-1	2-1	11	1	W
11/07	Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-0	3-1	9	0	W
04/07	Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	2-0	5-0	8	0	W
27/06	Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	4-0	5-0	5	1	W
20/06	Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	3-0	6-0	12	0	W
14/06	South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-0	5-0	6	2	W
30/05	Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women	1-0	2-0	8	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in South Hobart (W) vs Devonport City (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Devonport City (W) win (79%). Probabilities: South Hobart (W) 7%, draw 14%, Devonport City (W) 79%.

How many goals are expected in South Hobart (W) vs Devonport City (W)?

The model expects 3.54 goals (South Hobart (W) 0.77 · Devonport City (W) 2.77), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in South Hobart (W) vs Devonport City (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.