Prediction: Glenorchy Knights (W) vs Launceston City (W)
Expected goals: 4.38 (Glenorchy Knights (W) 3.19 · Launceston City (W) 1.19). The model gives 82% home, 11% draw, 7% away. Over 4 goals (53%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 3-1.
Recent form leaves Glenorchy Knights (W) with 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Launceston City (W) has piled up 3-2-5 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 1 wins for Glenorchy Knights (W) and 0 for Launceston City (W).
| Glenorchy Knights (W) | Draw | Launceston City (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 87% | 9% | 4% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Glenorchy Knights (W) (rating 1569 vs 1471).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Glenorchy Knights (W) | Launceston City (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.3 / 1.1 | 1.7 / 3.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.9 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 1.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 6.4 | 2.1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.7 / 0 | 1.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Glenorchy Knights (W) 1–0–0 Launceston City (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Launceston City (W) | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Glenorchy Knights (W) |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devonport City (W) | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 63 | 3 | 39 |
| 2 | Glenorchy Knights (W) | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 39 | 15 | 26 |
| 3 | South Hobart (W) | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 21 | 22 |
| 4 | Kingborough Lions (W) | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 15 |
| 5 | Launceston United (W) | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 39 | 33 | 13 |
| 6 | Taroona (W) | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 13 |
| 7 | Launceston City (W) | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 37 | 13 |
| 8 | Riverside Olympic (W) | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Glenorchy Knights (W) | Launceston City (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Kingborough Lions (W) | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Taroona (W) | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| South Hobart (W) | 2-2 D | 0-6 L |
| Launceston United (W) | 4-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Devonport Strikers (W) | 0-2 L | 0-5 L |
| Riverside Olympic (W) | 6-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Glenorchy Knights (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Glenorchy Knights (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 13/06 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Devonport Strikers (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
3-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-1 | 5-3 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
6-1 | 6-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
Launceston City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Devonport Strikers (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-4 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-4 | 0-7 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Glenorchy Knights (W) vs Launceston City (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Glenorchy Knights (W) win (82%). Probabilities: Glenorchy Knights (W) 82%, draw 11%, Launceston City (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in Glenorchy Knights (W) vs Launceston City (W)?
The model expects 4.38 goals (Glenorchy Knights (W) 3.19 · Launceston City (W) 1.19), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Glenorchy Knights (W) vs Launceston City (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.