Prediction: Glenorchy Knights (W) vs Kingborough Lions (W)
Expected goals: 3.96 (Glenorchy Knights (W) 2.68 · Kingborough Lions (W) 1.28). The model gives 66% home, 19% draw, 15% away. Over 3.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Glenorchy Knights (W) sits at 6-2-2 (W-D-L), while Kingborough Lions (W) arrives on a 4-2-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Glenorchy Knights (W) won 2 and Kingborough Lions (W) 3, with 1 draw.
| Glenorchy Knights (W) | Draw | Kingborough Lions (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 18% | 15% |
| Market | 66% | 19% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Glenorchy Knights (W) (rating 1562 vs 1492).
- H2H favours Kingborough Lions (W): 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Glenorchy Knights (W) | Kingborough Lions (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 1.2 | 2 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.3 / 6.7 | 3.1 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.8 / 0 | 1.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Glenorchy Knights (W) 2–1–3 Kingborough Lions (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Glenorchy Knights (W) | 5-3 HT 1-1 | Kingborough Lions (W) |
| 16/08/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Glenorchy Knights (W) | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Kingborough Lions (W) |
| 21/06/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Kingborough Lions (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Glenorchy Knights (W) |
| 13/04/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Kingborough Lions (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Glenorchy Knights (W) |
| 25/08/24 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Glenorchy Knights (W) | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Kingborough Lions (W) |
| 29/06/24 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Kingborough Lions (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Glenorchy Knights (W) |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devonport Strikers (W) | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 58 | 3 | 36 |
| 2 | Glenorchy Knights (W) | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | South Hobart (W) | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 21 | 22 |
| 4 | Kingborough Lions (W) | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 25 | 15 |
| 5 | Launceston United (W) | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 28 | 13 |
| 6 | Launceston City (W) | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 37 | 13 |
| 7 | Taroona (W) | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 10 |
| 8 | Riverside Olympic (W) | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 66 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Glenorchy Knights (W) | Kingborough Lions (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Taroona (W) | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| South Hobart (W) | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Launceston United (W) | 4-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Devonport Strikers (W) | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Riverside Olympic (W) | 6-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Launceston City (W) | 5-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Glenorchy Knights (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Glenorchy Knights (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 13/06 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Devonport Strikers (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
3-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-1 | 5-3 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
6-1 | 6-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 28/03 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
Kingborough Lions (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
3-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Devonport Strikers (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 29/03 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-1 | 4-3 | 5 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Glenorchy Knights (W) vs Kingborough Lions (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Glenorchy Knights (W) win (66%). Probabilities: Glenorchy Knights (W) 66%, draw 19%, Kingborough Lions (W) 15%.
How many goals are expected in Glenorchy Knights (W) vs Kingborough Lions (W)?
The model expects 3.96 goals (Glenorchy Knights (W) 2.68 · Kingborough Lions (W) 1.28), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Glenorchy Knights (W) vs Kingborough Lions (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.