Football · Australia Tasmania Super League Women · 18/07, 06:30
Prediction: Launceston City (W) vs Kingborough Lions (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.94Total
Launceston City (W)1.71
Kingborough Lions (W)2.23
1X2
Launceston City (W)
Draw
Kingborough Lions (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Launceston City (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Kingborough Lions (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Launceston City (W)
1–2–0
Kingborough Lions (W)
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Launceston City (W) 1445 · Kingborough Lions (W) 1458
| Launceston City (W) | Draw | Kingborough Lions (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 22% | 49% |
| Market | 29% | 22% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Launceston City (W) | Kingborough Lions (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 3.7 | 1.4 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 2 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.6 | 2.8 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.2 / 0.1 | 1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Launceston City (W) 1–2–0 Kingborough Lions (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Kingborough Lions (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Launceston City (W) |
| 14/03/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Launceston City (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Kingborough Lions (W) |
| 26/05/18 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Kingborough Lions (W) | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Launceston City (W) |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devonport City (W) | 14 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 66 | 4 | 42 |
| 2 | Glenorchy Knights (W) | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | South Hobart (W) | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 39 | 21 | 25 |
| 4 | Launceston United (W) | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 43 | 34 | 16 |
| 5 | Kingborough Lions (W) | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 31 | 15 |
| 6 | Taroona (W) | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 39 | 13 |
| 7 | Launceston City (W) | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 39 | 13 |
| 8 | Riverside Olympic (W) | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 75 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Launceston City (W) | Kingborough Lions (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Glenorchy Knights (W) | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Launceston United (W) | 5-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Taroona (W) | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| South Hobart (W) | 0-6 L | 1-2 L |
| Devonport City (W) | 0-6 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Launceston City (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Launceston City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Devonport Strikers (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-4 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-4 | 0-7 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 1 | 1 | L |
Kingborough Lions (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 28/06 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
3-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Launceston City (W) vs Kingborough Lions (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kingborough Lions (W) win (49%). Probabilities: Launceston City (W) 29%, draw 22%, Kingborough Lions (W) 49%.
How many goals are expected in Launceston City (W) vs Kingborough Lions (W)?
The model expects 3.94 goals (Launceston City (W) 1.71 · Kingborough Lions (W) 2.23), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Launceston City (W) vs Kingborough Lions (W)?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.