Prediction: Taroona (W) vs Riverside Olympic (W)
Expected goals: 4.04 (Taroona (W) 3.01 · Riverside Olympic (W) 1.03). The model gives 77% home, 14% draw, 10% away. Under 4.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 3-1.
Recent form leaves Taroona (W) with 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses over 10 games; Riverside Olympic (W) has piled up 0-2-8 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Taroona (W) won 4 and Riverside Olympic (W) 2.
| Taroona (W) | Draw | Riverside Olympic (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 77% | 13% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taroona (W) (rating 1467 vs 1368).
- H2H favours Taroona (W): 4-0-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Taroona (W) | Riverside Olympic (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.4 | 0.6 / 6.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 0.3 / 3.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 0/20/80% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.2 | 1 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.6 / 0 | 1.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taroona (W) 4–0–2 Riverside Olympic (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Taroona (W) | 5-1 HT 4-0 | Riverside Olympic (W) |
| 06/09/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Riverside Olympic (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Taroona (W) |
| 05/07/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Taroona (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Riverside Olympic (W) |
| 10/05/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Taroona (W) | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Riverside Olympic (W) |
| 07/09/24 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Taroona (W) | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Riverside Olympic (W) |
| 13/07/24 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Taroona (W) | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Riverside Olympic (W) |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devonport Strikers (W) | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 58 | 3 | 36 |
| 2 | Glenorchy Knights (W) | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | South Hobart (W) | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 21 | 22 |
| 4 | Kingborough Lions (W) | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 25 | 15 |
| 5 | Launceston United (W) | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 28 | 13 |
| 6 | Launceston City (W) | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 37 | 13 |
| 7 | Taroona (W) | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 10 |
| 8 | Riverside Olympic (W) | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 66 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Taroona (W) | Riverside Olympic (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Glenorchy Knights (W) | 0-2 L | 1-6 L |
| Kingborough Lions (W) | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Launceston City (W) | 1-2 L | 3-3 D |
| South Hobart (W) | 4-2 W | 0-6 L |
| Devonport Strikers (W) | 0-3 L | 0-6 L |
| Launceston United (W) | 3-1 W | 0-6 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Taroona (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taroona (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 21/06 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 13/06 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Devonport Strikers (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
4-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-6 | 1-6 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
Riverside Olympic (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Devonport Strikers (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-3 | 1-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-4 | 1-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-8 | 0-14 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Devonport Strikers (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-5 | 0-12 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 29/03 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taroona (W) vs Riverside Olympic (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Taroona (W) win (77%). Probabilities: Taroona (W) 77%, draw 14%, Riverside Olympic (W) 10%.
How many goals are expected in Taroona (W) vs Riverside Olympic (W)?
The model expects 4.04 goals (Taroona (W) 3.01 · Riverside Olympic (W) 1.03), with a 55% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Taroona (W) vs Riverside Olympic (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.