Football · Australia Tasmania Super League Women · 11/07, 08:45

Prediction: Launceston United (W) vs Taroona (W)

Expected goals: 4.31 (Launceston United (W) 2.61 · Taroona (W) 1.7). The model gives 56% home, 20% draw, 23% away. Over 4 goals (50%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 2-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Launceston United (W) sits at 4-0-6 (W-D-L), while Taroona (W) arrives on a 4-1-5 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for Launceston United (W) and 1 for Taroona (W), with 1 draw.

56%1
56% 20% 23%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Launceston United (W) 1478 · Taroona (W) 1469
Launceston United (W)DrawTaroona (W)
Our model57%19%24%
Market56%21%23%
Estimated total (ours) 4.31 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.31Launceston United (W) 2.61 · Taroona (W) 1.7
Over / Under 4Over 4 · 50%
BTTSYes · 62%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Launceston United (W): 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Launceston United (W)Taroona (W)
Goals for / against (FT)3.4 / 2.41.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)1.7 / 1.41 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/10/50%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.8 / 7.91.2 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)0.8 / 00.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Launceston United (W) 411 Taroona (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
Launceston United (W)1-3
HT 1-2
Taroona (W)
13/09/25
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
Taroona (W)3-3
HT 3-0
Launceston United (W)
24/05/25
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
Launceston United (W)1-0
HT 1-0
Taroona (W)
15/03/25
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
Taroona (W)0-6
HT 0-1
Launceston United (W)
17/08/24
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
Launceston United (W)5-0
HT 0-0
Taroona (W)
22/06/24
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
Launceston United (W)6-0
HT 6-0
Taroona (W)

Standings · Australia Tasmania Super League Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Devonport City (W) 131300 63339
2 Glenorchy Knights (W) 13823 391526
3 South Hobart (W) 12714 342122
4 Kingborough Lions (W) 12435 222815
5 Launceston United (W) 13418 393313
6 Taroona (W) 13418 193513
7 Launceston City (W) 12345 193713
8 Riverside Olympic (W) 120210 7702

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLaunceston United (W)Taroona (W)
Riverside Olympic (W) 6-0 W 4-1 W
Launceston City (W) 0-5 L 1-2 L
Glenorchy Knights (W) 0-4 L 0-2 L
Kingborough Lions (W) 2-4 L 1-1 D
South Hobart (W) 2-0 W 4-2 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Taroona (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Launceston United (W)

WLWLWLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Devonport City (W)
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
0-2 0-5 50 L
27/06 Riverside Olympic (W)
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
1-0 6-0 131 W
20/06 Launceston City (W)
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
0-3 0-5 60 L
13/06 Glenorchy Knights (W)
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
0-2 0-4 52 L
30/05 Kingborough Lions (W)
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
0-3 2-4 121 L
23/05 South Hobart (W)
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
1-0 2-0 51 W
09/05 Taroona (W)
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
1-2 1-3 70 L
06/05 Launceston City (W)
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
4-0 7-0 91 W
01/05 Devonport City (W)
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
2-2 2-3 32 L
18/04 Riverside Olympic (W)
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
8-0 14-0 140 W

Taroona (W)

LLWWLWLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Riverside Olympic (W)
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
1-0 4-1 72 W
27/06 Glenorchy Knights (W)
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
0-2 0-2 30 L
21/06 Kingborough Lions (W)
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
0-0 1-1 31 D
13/06 Launceston City (W)
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
0-1 1-2 10 L
29/05 South Hobart (W)
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
2-1 4-2 20 W
23/05 Devonport Strikers (W)
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
0-1 0-3 01 L
09/05 Launceston United (W)
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
2-1 3-1 10 W
02/05 Riverside Olympic (W)
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
4-0 5-1 22 W
19/04 Glenorchy Knights (W)
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
1-6 1-6 20 L
11/04 Kingborough Lions (W)
Australia Tasmania Super League Women
0-0 0-1 31 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Launceston United (W) vs Taroona (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Launceston United (W) win (56%). Probabilities: Launceston United (W) 56%, draw 20%, Taroona (W) 23%.

How many goals are expected in Launceston United (W) vs Taroona (W)?

The model expects 4.31 goals (Launceston United (W) 2.61 · Taroona (W) 1.7), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Launceston United (W) vs Taroona (W)?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.