Prediction: Launceston United (W) vs Taroona (W)
Expected goals: 4.31 (Launceston United (W) 2.61 · Taroona (W) 1.7). The model gives 56% home, 20% draw, 23% away. Over 4 goals (50%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Launceston United (W) sits at 4-0-6 (W-D-L), while Taroona (W) arrives on a 4-1-5 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for Launceston United (W) and 1 for Taroona (W), with 1 draw.
| Launceston United (W) | Draw | Taroona (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 19% | 24% |
| Market | 56% | 21% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Launceston United (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Launceston United (W) | Taroona (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.4 / 2.4 | 1.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 7.9 | 1.2 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.8 / 0 | 0.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Launceston United (W) 4–1–1 Taroona (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Launceston United (W) | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Taroona (W) |
| 13/09/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Taroona (W) | 3-3 HT 3-0 | Launceston United (W) |
| 24/05/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Launceston United (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Taroona (W) |
| 15/03/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Taroona (W) | 0-6 HT 0-1 | Launceston United (W) |
| 17/08/24 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Launceston United (W) | 5-0 HT 0-0 | Taroona (W) |
| 22/06/24 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Launceston United (W) | 6-0 HT 6-0 | Taroona (W) |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devonport City (W) | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 63 | 3 | 39 |
| 2 | Glenorchy Knights (W) | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 39 | 15 | 26 |
| 3 | South Hobart (W) | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 21 | 22 |
| 4 | Kingborough Lions (W) | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 15 |
| 5 | Launceston United (W) | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 39 | 33 | 13 |
| 6 | Taroona (W) | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 13 |
| 7 | Launceston City (W) | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 37 | 13 |
| 8 | Riverside Olympic (W) | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Launceston United (W) | Taroona (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Riverside Olympic (W) | 6-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Launceston City (W) | 0-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Glenorchy Knights (W) | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Kingborough Lions (W) | 2-4 L | 1-1 D |
| South Hobart (W) | 2-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Taroona (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Launceston United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 6-0 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 06/05 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
4-0 | 7-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
8-0 | 14-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
Taroona (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 21/06 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 13/06 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Devonport Strikers (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
4-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-6 | 1-6 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Launceston United (W) vs Taroona (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Launceston United (W) win (56%). Probabilities: Launceston United (W) 56%, draw 20%, Taroona (W) 23%.
How many goals are expected in Launceston United (W) vs Taroona (W)?
The model expects 4.31 goals (Launceston United (W) 2.61 · Taroona (W) 1.7), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Launceston United (W) vs Taroona (W)?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.

