Football · Australia Tasmania Super League Women · 19/07, 06:00
Prediction: South Hobart (W) vs Launceston United (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.35Total
South Hobart (W)2.58
Launceston United (W)1.77
1X2
South Hobart (W)
Draw
Launceston United (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
South Hobart (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Launceston United (W)
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
South Hobart (W)
4–2
Launceston United (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · South Hobart (W) 1548 · Launceston United (W) 1460
| South Hobart (W) | Draw | Launceston United (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 20% | 25% |
| Market | 54% | 21% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.35 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours South Hobart (W) (rating 1548 vs 1460).
- H2H favours South Hobart (W): 4-0-2.
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| South Hobart (W) | Launceston United (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 1.5 | 2.4 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6 | 3.5 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.9 / 0 | 0.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · South Hobart (W) 4–0–2 Launceston United (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Launceston United (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | South Hobart (W) |
| 14/03/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | South Hobart (W) | 4-1 HT 0-0 | Launceston United (W) |
| 16/08/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Launceston United (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | South Hobart (W) |
| 21/06/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | South Hobart (W) | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Launceston United (W) |
| 12/04/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | South Hobart (W) | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Launceston United (W) |
| 10/08/24 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Launceston United (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | South Hobart (W) |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Super League Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devonport City (W) | 14 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 66 | 4 | 42 |
| 2 | Glenorchy Knights (W) | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | South Hobart (W) | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 39 | 21 | 25 |
| 4 | Launceston United (W) | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 43 | 34 | 16 |
| 5 | Kingborough Lions (W) | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 31 | 15 |
| 6 | Taroona (W) | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 39 | 13 |
| 7 | Launceston City (W) | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 39 | 13 |
| 8 | Riverside Olympic (W) | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 75 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | South Hobart (W) | Launceston United (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Riverside Olympic (W) | 5-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Kingborough Lions (W) | 2-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Glenorchy Knights (W) | 2-2 D | 0-4 L |
| Taroona (W) | 2-4 L | 4-1 W |
| Launceston City (W) | 6-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: South Hobart (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
South Hobart (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 28/06 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 14/06 | Devonport Strikers (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
Launceston United (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 6-0 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 06/05 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
4-0 | 7-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in South Hobart (W) vs Launceston United (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a South Hobart (W) win (55%). Probabilities: South Hobart (W) 55%, draw 20%, Launceston United (W) 25%.
How many goals are expected in South Hobart (W) vs Launceston United (W)?
The model expects 4.35 goals (South Hobart (W) 2.58 · Launceston United (W) 1.77), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in South Hobart (W) vs Launceston United (W)?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.