Prediction: Dangjin Citizen FC vs Pocheon Citizen FC
Expected goals: 2.97 (Dangjin Citizen FC 1.2 · Pocheon Citizen FC 1.77). The model gives 25% home, 26% draw, 50% away. Under 2.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Dangjin Citizen FC is 2-3-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Pocheon Citizen FC 7-3-0 over its own. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Dangjin Citizen FC won 1 and Pocheon Citizen FC 3.
| Dangjin Citizen FC | Draw | Pocheon Citizen FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 26% | 50% |
| Market | 25% | 26% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pocheon Citizen FC (rating 1465 vs 1614).
- H2H favours Pocheon Citizen FC: 3-0-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dangjin Citizen FC | Pocheon Citizen FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 2.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.5 | 2.5 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dangjin Citizen FC 1–0–3 Pocheon Citizen FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 South Korea K3 League | Pocheon Citizen FC | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Dangjin Citizen FC |
| 18/06/22 South Korea K3 League | Pocheon Citizen FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Dangjin Citizen FC |
| 05/03/22 South Korea K3 League | Dangjin Citizen FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Pocheon Citizen FC |
| 25/09/21 South Korea K4 League | Pocheon Citizen FC | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Dangjin Citizen FC |
Standings · South Korea K3 League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung City AC | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Pocheon Citizen FC | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 14 | 34 |
| 3 | Daejeon Korail | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Busan Trans Corp | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 13 | 27 |
| 5 | Changwon City | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 24 |
| 6 | Dangjin Citizen FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 21 |
| 7 | Yeoju | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 21 |
| 8 | Gangneung City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | 19 |
| 9 | Chuncheon FC | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 16 |
| 10 | Gyeongju HNP | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 16 |
| 11 | Ulsan Citizen FC | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 16 |
| 12 | Yangpyeong FC | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 13 |
| 13 | Mokpo City | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 12 |
| 14 | Jeonbuk Motors II | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 35 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dangjin Citizen FC | Pocheon Citizen FC |
|---|---|---|
| Gangneung City | 5-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Ulsan Citizen FC | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Changwon City | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Daejeon Korail | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Gyeongju HNP | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Busan Trans Corp | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Pocheon Citizen FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dangjin Citizen FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Haman South Korea Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
3-1 | 5-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Changwon City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 27/05 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Pocheon Citizen FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Daejeon Korail South Korea Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
2-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Changwon City South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Changwon City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dangjin Citizen FC vs Pocheon Citizen FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Pocheon Citizen FC win (50%). Probabilities: Dangjin Citizen FC 25%, draw 26%, Pocheon Citizen FC 50%.
How many goals are expected in Dangjin Citizen FC vs Pocheon Citizen FC?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Dangjin Citizen FC 1.2 · Pocheon Citizen FC 1.77), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Dangjin Citizen FC vs Pocheon Citizen FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.