Prediction: Mokpo City vs Gangneung City
Expected goals: 2.35 (Mokpo City 1.11 · Gangneung City 1.24). The model gives 32% home, 29% draw, 39% away. Over 2.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Mokpo City with 0 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Gangneung City has piled up 4-1-5 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Mokpo City and 2 for Gangneung City, with 2 draws.
| Mokpo City | Draw | Gangneung City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 31% | 38% |
| Market | 33% | 28% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mokpo City | Gangneung City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.7 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3 | 1.7 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mokpo City 2–2–2 Gangneung City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 South Korea K3 League | Gangneung City | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mokpo City |
| 26/10/25 South Korea K3 League | Mokpo City | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Gangneung City |
| 14/06/25 South Korea K3 League | Gangneung City | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Mokpo City |
| 24/08/24 South Korea K3 League | Gangneung City | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Mokpo City |
| 27/04/24 South Korea K3 League | Mokpo City | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Gangneung City |
| 22/09/23 South Korea K3 League | Gangneung City | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Mokpo City |
Standings · South Korea K3 League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung City AC | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Pocheon Citizen FC | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 14 | 34 |
| 3 | Daejeon Korail | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Busan Trans Corp | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 13 | 27 |
| 5 | Changwon City | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 24 |
| 6 | Dangjin Citizen FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 21 |
| 7 | Yeoju | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 21 |
| 8 | Gangneung City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | 19 |
| 9 | Chuncheon FC | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 16 |
| 10 | Gyeongju HNP | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 16 |
| 11 | Ulsan Citizen FC | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 16 |
| 12 | Yangpyeong FC | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 13 |
| 13 | Mokpo City | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 12 |
| 14 | Jeonbuk Motors II | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 35 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mokpo City | Gangneung City |
|---|---|---|
| Ulsan Citizen FC | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Changwon City | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Yangpyeong FC | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Siheung City AC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Daejeon Korail | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Gyeongju HNP | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Gangneung City (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mokpo City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Anseong Citizen FC South Korea Cup |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Changwon City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 07/06 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Chuncheon FC South Korea League Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
Gangneung City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Jecheon Citizen South Korea Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Changwon City South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mokpo City vs Gangneung City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Gangneung City win (39%). Probabilities: Mokpo City 32%, draw 29%, Gangneung City 39%.
How many goals are expected in Mokpo City vs Gangneung City?
The model expects 2.35 goals (Mokpo City 1.11 · Gangneung City 1.24), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Mokpo City vs Gangneung City?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.