Football · South Korea K3 League · 12/07, 11:00
Prediction: Changwon City vs Chuncheon FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Changwon City1.94
Chuncheon FC1.04
1X2
Changwon City
Draw
Chuncheon FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Changwon City
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Chuncheon FC
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Changwon City
3–1–2
Chuncheon FC
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Changwon City (rating 1546 vs 1466).
- H2H favours Changwon City: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Changwon City | Chuncheon FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 2.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.1 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.4 | 1.1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Changwon City 3–1–2 Chuncheon FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 South Korea K3 League | Chuncheon FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Changwon City |
| 27/09/25 South Korea K3 League | Chuncheon FC | 2-4 HT 0-2 | Changwon City |
| 31/05/25 South Korea K3 League | Changwon City | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Chuncheon FC |
| 19/10/24 South Korea K3 League | Changwon City | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Chuncheon FC |
| 25/05/24 South Korea K3 League | Chuncheon FC | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Changwon City |
| 23/07/23 South Korea K3 League | Chuncheon FC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Changwon City |
Standings · South Korea K3 League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung City AC | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Pocheon Citizen FC | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 14 | 34 |
| 3 | Daejeon Korail | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Busan Trans Corp | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 13 | 27 |
| 5 | Changwon City | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 24 |
| 6 | Dangjin Citizen FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 21 |
| 7 | Yeoju | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
| 8 | Ulsan Citizen FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 19 | 19 |
| 9 | Gangneung City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | 19 |
| 10 | Chuncheon FC | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 16 |
| 11 | Gyeongju HNP | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 16 |
| 12 | Yangpyeong FC | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 13 |
| 13 | Mokpo City | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 12 |
| 14 | Jeonbuk Motors II | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 35 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Changwon City | Chuncheon FC |
|---|---|---|
| Mokpo City | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Pocheon Citizen FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Ulsan Citizen FC | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Yangpyeong FC | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| Siheung City AC | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Changwon City (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Changwon City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Geumsan Insam South Korea Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Yeoju South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | Mokpo City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 06/06 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
Chuncheon FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
3-0 | 6-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Mokpo City South Korea League Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Changwon City vs Chuncheon FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Changwon City win (57%). Probabilities: Changwon City 57%, draw 24%, Chuncheon FC 19%.
How many goals are expected in Changwon City vs Chuncheon FC?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Changwon City 1.94 · Chuncheon FC 1.04), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Changwon City vs Chuncheon FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.