Prediction: Siheung City AC vs Busan Trans Corp
Expected goals: 2.34 (Siheung City AC 1.51 · Busan Trans Corp 0.83). The model gives 53% home, 27% draw, 21% away. Under 2.5 goals (55%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-0.
On recent form, Siheung City AC is 5-4-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Busan Trans Corp 5-3-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Siheung City AC won 3 and Busan Trans Corp 3.
| Siheung City AC | Draw | Busan Trans Corp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 29% | 20% |
| Market | 54% | 25% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Siheung City AC | Busan Trans Corp | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.6 | 2.5 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Siheung City AC 3–0–3 Busan Trans Corp
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 South Korea K3 League | Busan Trans Corp | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Siheung City AC |
| 17/08/25 South Korea K3 League | Siheung City AC | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Busan Trans Corp |
| 19/04/25 South Korea K3 League | Busan Trans Corp | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Siheung City AC |
| 02/11/24 South Korea K3 League | Busan Trans Corp | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Siheung City AC |
| 23/06/24 South Korea K3 League | Siheung City AC | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Busan Trans Corp |
| 26/08/23 South Korea K3 League | Siheung City AC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Busan Trans Corp |
Standings · South Korea K3 League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung City AC | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Pocheon Citizen FC | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 14 | 34 |
| 3 | Daejeon Korail | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Busan Trans Corp | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 13 | 27 |
| 5 | Changwon City | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 24 |
| 6 | Dangjin Citizen FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 21 |
| 7 | Yeoju | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 21 |
| 8 | Gangneung City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | 19 |
| 9 | Chuncheon FC | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 16 |
| 10 | Gyeongju HNP | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 16 |
| 11 | Ulsan Citizen FC | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 16 |
| 12 | Yangpyeong FC | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 13 |
| 13 | Mokpo City | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 12 |
| 14 | Jeonbuk Motors II | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 35 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Siheung City AC | Busan Trans Corp |
|---|---|---|
| Jeonbuk Motors II | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Chuncheon FC | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Yeoju | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Mokpo City | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Busan Trans Corp (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Siheung City AC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Jincheon HR South Korea Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 27/06 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Yeoju South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Mokpo City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Busan Trans Corp
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Gijang United South Korea Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Yeoju South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/05 | Gijang United South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Yeoju South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Mokpo City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Siheung City AC vs Busan Trans Corp?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Siheung City AC win (53%). Probabilities: Siheung City AC 53%, draw 27%, Busan Trans Corp 21%.
How many goals are expected in Siheung City AC vs Busan Trans Corp?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Siheung City AC 1.51 · Busan Trans Corp 0.83), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Siheung City AC vs Busan Trans Corp?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.