Football · South Korea K3 League · 22/08, 11:00

Prediction: Pocheon Citizen FC vs Mokpo City

Team pages: Pocheon Citizen FC · Mokpo City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Pocheon Citizen FC2.06

Mokpo City0.8

1X2

66% 22% 12%

Pocheon Citizen FC Draw Mokpo City

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Pocheon Citizen FC 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWDDDW

Mokpo City 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDDLDWLL

Head-to-head

Pocheon Citizen FC 0–3–3 Mokpo City (6 last)

Mokpo City1-1Pocheon Citizen FC
Mokpo City0-0Pocheon Citizen FC
Pocheon Citizen FC1-1Mokpo City
Mokpo City3-2Pocheon Citizen FC
Pocheon Citizen FC2-4Mokpo City
Mokpo City2-1Pocheon Citizen FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pocheon Citizen FC (rating 1583 vs 1448).
H2H favours Mokpo City: 3-3-0.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pocheon Citizen FC	Mokpo City
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.9	0.9 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 7.5	1.2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.5	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.86

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:56

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.37 → 1.37	Pinn 1.37
X	4.48 → 4.48	Pinn 4.48
2	7.20 → 7.20	Pinn 7.20

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:55	1.37	4.48	7.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pocheon Citizen FC 0–3–3 Mokpo City

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 South Korea K3 League	Mokpo City	1-1 HT 0-1	Pocheon Citizen FC
30/08/25 South Korea K3 League	Mokpo City	0-0 HT 0-0	Pocheon Citizen FC
03/05/25 South Korea K3 League	Pocheon Citizen FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Mokpo City
27/10/24 South Korea K3 League	Mokpo City	3-2 HT 1-1	Pocheon Citizen FC
16/06/24 South Korea K3 League	Pocheon Citizen FC	2-4 HT 1-4	Mokpo City
26/08/23 South Korea K3 League	Mokpo City	2-1 HT 1-0	Pocheon Citizen FC

Standings · South Korea K3 League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Siheung City AC	18	12	4	2	24	15	40
2	Pocheon Citizen FC	18	10	6	2	31	16	36
3	Busan Trans Corp	18	9	6	3	30	15	33
4	Daejeon Korail	18	9	5	4	28	13	32
5	Dangjin Citizen FC	19	8	4	7	35	27	28
6	Changwon City	18	6	8	4	19	17	26
7	Gyeongju HNP	18	5	7	6	24	24	22
8	Yeoju	18	5	7	6	21	23	22
9	Chuncheon FC	18	5	5	8	32	30	20
10	Gangneung City	18	5	5	8	16	27	20
11	Ulsan Citizen FC	18	5	4	9	18	21	19
12	Yangpyeong FC	18	3	7	8	22	33	16
13	Mokpo City	18	2	9	7	15	31	15
14	Jeonbuk Motors II	19	1	7	11	20	43	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pocheon Citizen FC	Mokpo City
Daejeon Korail	1-1 D	0-3 L
Dangjin Citizen FC	1-1 D	1-6 L
Gyeongju HNP	3-1 W	0-1 L
Gangneung City	3-1 W	2-1 W
Ulsan Citizen FC	1-0 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Pocheon Citizen FC (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Pocheon Citizen FC

WDWWWWDDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship	1-0	2-1	8	4	W
25/07	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
15/07	Seongnam FC South Korea Cup	1-0	1-1	12	3	D
11/07	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
04/07	Daejeon Korail South Korea Cup	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
28/06	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	2-0	3-1	7	6	W
21/06	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	1-0	3-1	5	4	W
13/06	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3/K4 Championship	2-1	5-2	5	5	W
06/06	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	14	3	D
30/05	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-0	5	4	W

Mokpo City

LLDDDLDWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-2	1-6	4	4	L
15/07	Cheonan City South Korea Cup	1-1	1-2	6	1	L
11/07	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
04/07	Anseong Citizen FC South Korea Cup	1-0	2-2	8	2	D
27/06	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-4	4	1	L
20/06	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
07/06	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
31/05	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
23/05	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
17/05	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	1	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pocheon Citizen FC vs Mokpo City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pocheon Citizen FC win (66%). Probabilities: Pocheon Citizen FC 66%, draw 22%, Mokpo City 12%.

How many goals are expected in Pocheon Citizen FC vs Mokpo City?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Pocheon Citizen FC 2.06 · Mokpo City 0.8), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Pocheon Citizen FC vs Mokpo City?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.