Prediction: Ulsan Citizen FC vs Yeoju
Expected goals: 2.29 (Ulsan Citizen FC 1.2 · Yeoju 1.09). The model gives 37% home, 30% draw, 32% away. Over 2 goals (54%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Ulsan Citizen FC sits at 3-3-4 (W-D-L), while Yeoju arrives on a 3-4-3 run. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Ulsan Citizen FC and 2 for Yeoju.
| Ulsan Citizen FC | Draw | Yeoju | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 31% | 32% |
| Market | 38% | 30% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Ulsan Citizen FC: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ulsan Citizen FC | Yeoju | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.5 | 1.6 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ulsan Citizen FC 3–0–2 Yeoju
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 South Korea K3 League | Yeoju | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Ulsan Citizen FC |
| 31/08/25 South Korea K3 League | Yeoju | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Ulsan Citizen FC |
| 03/05/25 South Korea K3 League | Ulsan Citizen FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Yeoju |
| 07/07/24 South Korea K3 League | Yeoju | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Ulsan Citizen FC |
| 16/03/24 South Korea K3 League | Ulsan Citizen FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Yeoju |
Standings · South Korea K3 League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung City AC | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Pocheon Citizen FC | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 14 | 34 |
| 3 | Daejeon Korail | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Busan Trans Corp | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 13 | 27 |
| 5 | Changwon City | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 24 |
| 6 | Dangjin Citizen FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 21 |
| 7 | Yeoju | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 21 |
| 8 | Gangneung City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | 19 |
| 9 | Chuncheon FC | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 16 |
| 10 | Gyeongju HNP | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 16 |
| 11 | Ulsan Citizen FC | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 16 |
| 12 | Yangpyeong FC | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 13 |
| 13 | Mokpo City | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 12 |
| 14 | Jeonbuk Motors II | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 35 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ulsan Citizen FC | Yeoju |
|---|---|---|
| Siheung City AC | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Daejeon Korail | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Changwon City | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Yangpyeong FC | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Yeoju (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ulsan Citizen FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Chuncheon FC South Korea Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Mokpo City South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Changwon City South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
Yeoju
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea Cup |
3-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Changwon City South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 14/06 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Sejong SA South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ulsan Citizen FC vs Yeoju?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ulsan Citizen FC win (37%). Probabilities: Ulsan Citizen FC 37%, draw 30%, Yeoju 32%.
How many goals are expected in Ulsan Citizen FC vs Yeoju?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Ulsan Citizen FC 1.2 · Yeoju 1.09), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Ulsan Citizen FC vs Yeoju?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.