Football · South Korea K3 League · 22/08, 11:00

Prediction: Dangjin Citizen FC vs Yeoju

Team pages: Dangjin Citizen FC · Yeoju

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Dangjin Citizen FC1.77

Yeoju0.9

1X2

57% 25% 18%

Dangjin Citizen FC Draw Yeoju

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Dangjin Citizen FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

LDWDDWWWWD

Yeoju 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWDWLDDL

Head-to-head

Dangjin Citizen FC 3–1–0 Yeoju (4 last)

Yeoju0-1Dangjin Citizen FC
Yeoju2-2Dangjin Citizen FC
Dangjin Citizen FC4-1Yeoju
Yeoju1-5Dangjin Citizen FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dangjin Citizen FC (rating 1564 vs 1488).
H2H favours Dangjin Citizen FC: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dangjin Citizen FC	Yeoju
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.9	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.9	1.2 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.2	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.92

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:55

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.09 → 2.09	Pinn 2.09
X	3.34 → 3.34	Pinn 3.34
2	3.13 → 3.13	Pinn 3.13

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:55 +1’	2.09	3.34	3.13

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dangjin Citizen FC 3–1–0 Yeoju

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/07/26 South Korea Cup	Yeoju	0-1 HT 0-0	Dangjin Citizen FC
11/04/26 South Korea K3 League	Yeoju	2-2 HT 0-2	Dangjin Citizen FC
13/08/23 South Korea K4 League	Dangjin Citizen FC	4-1 HT 1-0	Yeoju
09/04/23 South Korea K4 League	Yeoju	1-5 HT 1-2	Dangjin Citizen FC

Standings · South Korea K3 League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Siheung City AC	18	12	4	2	24	15	40
2	Pocheon Citizen FC	18	10	6	2	31	16	36
3	Busan Trans Corp	18	9	6	3	30	15	33
4	Daejeon Korail	18	9	5	4	28	13	32
5	Dangjin Citizen FC	19	8	4	7	35	27	28
6	Changwon City	18	6	8	4	19	17	26
7	Gyeongju HNP	18	5	7	6	24	24	22
8	Yeoju	18	5	7	6	21	23	22
9	Chuncheon FC	18	5	5	8	32	30	20
10	Gangneung City	18	5	5	8	16	27	20
11	Ulsan Citizen FC	18	5	4	9	18	21	19
12	Yangpyeong FC	18	3	7	8	22	33	16
13	Mokpo City	18	2	9	7	15	31	15
14	Jeonbuk Motors II	19	1	7	11	20	43	10

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dangjin Citizen FC	Yeoju
Gangneung City	5-2 W	1-1 D
Ulsan Citizen FC	1-1 D	0-1 L
Changwon City	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Dangjin Citizen FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Dangjin Citizen FC

LDWDDWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea Cup	1-1	2-2	6	1	D
29/07	Yeoju South Korea Cup	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
25/07	Mokpo City South Korea K3 League	2-1	6-1	3	4	W
18/07	Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
15/07	Yongin FC South Korea Cup	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
11/07	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-1	7	2	D
04/07	Haman South Korea Cup	0-0	0-0	15	6	D
28/06	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	3-1	5-2	2	1	W
20/06	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
06/06	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-2	2	1	L

Yeoju

WLLWDWLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea Cup	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
25/07	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
15/07	Gyeongnam FC South Korea Cup	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
10/07	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
05/07	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea Cup	3-1	3-1	4	5	W
27/06	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	0-1	2-2	3	1	D
20/06	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	2-1	2	9	W
14/06	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3/K4 Championship	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
07/06	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
31/05	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-0	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dangjin Citizen FC vs Yeoju?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dangjin Citizen FC win (57%). Probabilities: Dangjin Citizen FC 57%, draw 25%, Yeoju 18%.

How many goals are expected in Dangjin Citizen FC vs Yeoju?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Dangjin Citizen FC 1.77 · Yeoju 0.9), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Dangjin Citizen FC vs Yeoju?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.