Football · South Korea K3 League · 22/08, 12:00

Prediction: Busan Trans Corp vs Changwon City

Team pages: Busan Trans Corp · Changwon City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.24Total

Busan Trans Corp1.36

Changwon City0.88

1X2

47% 30% 23%

Busan Trans Corp Draw Changwon City

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Busan Trans Corp 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWDLWWDWDW

Changwon City 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWDDWDLD

Head-to-head

Busan Trans Corp 3–1–2 Changwon City (6 last)

Changwon City0-0Busan Trans Corp
Changwon City3-0Busan Trans Corp
Busan Trans Corp2-1Changwon City
Busan Trans Corp2-1Changwon City
Changwon City2-1Busan Trans Corp
Changwon City1-2Busan Trans Corp

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Busan Trans Corp: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Busan Trans Corp	Changwon City
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.8	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.3	3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.2	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.97

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:58

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.46 → 2.46	Pinn 2.46
X	2.98 → 2.98	Pinn 2.98
2	2.87 → 2.87	Pinn 2.87

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:57 +1’	2.46	2.98	2.87

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Busan Trans Corp 3–1–2 Changwon City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 South Korea K3 League	Changwon City	0-0 HT 0-0	Busan Trans Corp
08/11/25 South Korea K3 League	Changwon City	3-0 HT 0-0	Busan Trans Corp
28/06/25 South Korea K3 League	Busan Trans Corp	2-1 HT 0-1	Changwon City
21/07/24 South Korea K3 League	Busan Trans Corp	2-1 HT 1-0	Changwon City
07/04/24 South Korea K3 League	Changwon City	2-1 HT 1-1	Busan Trans Corp
27/10/23 South Korea K3 League	Changwon City	1-2 HT 1-2	Busan Trans Corp

Standings · South Korea K3 League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Siheung City AC	18	12	4	2	24	15	40
2	Pocheon Citizen FC	18	10	6	2	31	16	36
3	Busan Trans Corp	18	9	6	3	30	15	33
4	Daejeon Korail	18	9	5	4	28	13	32
5	Dangjin Citizen FC	19	8	4	7	35	27	28
6	Changwon City	18	6	8	4	19	17	26
7	Gyeongju HNP	18	5	7	6	24	24	22
8	Yeoju	18	5	7	6	21	23	22
9	Chuncheon FC	18	5	5	8	32	30	20
10	Gangneung City	18	5	5	8	16	27	20
11	Ulsan Citizen FC	18	5	4	9	18	21	19
12	Yangpyeong FC	18	3	7	8	22	33	16
13	Mokpo City	18	2	9	7	15	31	15
14	Jeonbuk Motors II	19	1	7	11	20	43	10

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Busan Trans Corp	Changwon City
Ulsan Citizen FC	1-0 W	2-0 W
Yeoju	2-0 W	2-2 D
Pocheon Citizen FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Busan Trans Corp

DWDLWWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
29/07	Jinju Citizen FC South Korea Cup	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
26/07	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	1-2	4-2	4	4	W
15/07	Suwon Bluewings South Korea Cup	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
11/07	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	2-0	2-0	1	0	W
05/07	Gijang United South Korea Cup	2-1	2-1	6	3	W
28/06	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
21/06	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-1	5	2	D
14/06	Yeoju South Korea K3/K4 Championship	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
06/06	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	2	3	D

Changwon City

WDWWDDWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League	1-1	1-1	5	0	D
15/07	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea Cup	0-4	1-5	4	3	L
12/07	Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
04/07	Geumsan Insam South Korea Cup	2-0	3-0	2	2	W
27/06	Yeoju South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-2	8	1	D
20/06	Mokpo City South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	8	2	D
06/06	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	2-1	7	1	W
30/05	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
27/05	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
23/05	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-0	5	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Busan Trans Corp vs Changwon City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Busan Trans Corp win (47%). Probabilities: Busan Trans Corp 47%, draw 30%, Changwon City 23%.

How many goals are expected in Busan Trans Corp vs Changwon City?

The model expects 2.24 goals (Busan Trans Corp 1.36 · Changwon City 0.88), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Busan Trans Corp vs Changwon City?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.