Football · South Korea K3 League · 23/08, 10:00

Prediction: Siheung City AC vs Daejeon Korail

Team pages: Siheung City AC · Daejeon Korail

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.04Total

Siheung City AC1.14

Daejeon Korail0.91

1X2

41% 30% 29%

Siheung City AC Draw Daejeon Korail

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Siheung City AC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWDWWDLL

Daejeon Korail 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDWWLD

Head-to-head

Siheung City AC 4–2–0 Daejeon Korail (6 last)

Daejeon Korail0-1Siheung City AC
Siheung City AC1-1Daejeon Korail
Daejeon Korail2-3Siheung City AC
Daejeon Korail0-1Siheung City AC
Siheung City AC2-1Daejeon Korail
Daejeon Korail1-1Siheung City AC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Siheung City AC 1511 · Daejeon Korail 1541

	Siheung City AC	Draw	Daejeon Korail
Our model	40%	33%	28%
Market	42%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Siheung City AC: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Siheung City AC	Daejeon Korail
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	1.7 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.7	2 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.3	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.20

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.27 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:20 +6’	2.15	3.20	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:09 +44’	2.22	3.14	3.10
19:25 +1’	2.27▲	3.14	3.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Siheung City AC 4–2–0 Daejeon Korail

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 South Korea K3 League	Daejeon Korail	0-1 HT 0-0	Siheung City AC
11/10/25 South Korea K3 League	Siheung City AC	1-1 HT 0-0	Daejeon Korail
08/06/25 South Korea K3 League	Daejeon Korail	2-3 HT 0-3	Siheung City AC
04/10/24 South Korea K3 League	Daejeon Korail	0-1 HT 0-1	Siheung City AC
08/06/24 South Korea K3 League	Siheung City AC	2-1 HT 1-1	Daejeon Korail
24/06/23 South Korea K3 League	Daejeon Korail	1-1 HT 0-1	Siheung City AC

Standings · South Korea K3 League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Siheung City AC	18	12	4	2	24	15	40
2	Pocheon Citizen FC	18	10	6	2	31	16	36
3	Busan Trans Corp	18	9	6	3	30	15	33
4	Daejeon Korail	18	9	5	4	28	13	32
5	Dangjin Citizen FC	19	8	4	7	35	27	28
6	Changwon City	18	6	8	4	19	17	26
7	Gyeongju HNP	18	5	7	6	24	24	22
8	Yeoju	18	5	7	6	21	23	22
9	Chuncheon FC	18	5	5	8	32	30	20
10	Gangneung City	18	5	5	8	16	27	20
11	Ulsan Citizen FC	18	5	4	9	18	21	19
12	Yangpyeong FC	18	3	7	8	22	33	16
13	Mokpo City	18	2	9	7	15	31	15
14	Jeonbuk Motors II	19	1	7	11	20	43	10

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Siheung City AC	Daejeon Korail
Gyeongju HNP	0-1 L	0-1 L
Busan Trans Corp	0-2 L	1-0 W
Jeonbuk Motors II	1-1 D	4-0 W
Chuncheon FC	3-2 W	3-3 D
Yeoju	1-0 W	0-1 L
Mokpo City	1-1 D	3-0 W
Dangjin Citizen FC	2-1 W	1-0 W
Gangneung City	1-1 D	3-0 W
Ulsan Citizen FC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 2 L	6 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Daejeon Korail (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Siheung City AC

DWDWDWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
11/07	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League	0-2	0-2	9	0	L
27/06	Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
20/06	Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League	2-2	3-2	4	2	W
07/06	Yeoju South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
31/05	Mokpo City South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
23/05	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	2-1	2-1	2	3	W
17/05	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
09/05	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
02/05	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	2	1	D

Daejeon Korail

WWWWLDWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
11/07	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
28/06	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
20/06	Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League	1-0	4-0	2	3	W
06/06	Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League	2-2	3-3	3	6	D
31/05	Yeoju South Korea K3 League	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
23/05	Mokpo City South Korea K3 League	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
16/05	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
10/05	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
01/05	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-0	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Siheung City AC vs Daejeon Korail?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Siheung City AC win (41%). Probabilities: Siheung City AC 41%, draw 30%, Daejeon Korail 29%.

How many goals are expected in Siheung City AC vs Daejeon Korail?

The model expects 2.04 goals (Siheung City AC 1.14 · Daejeon Korail 0.91), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Siheung City AC vs Daejeon Korail?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.