Football · South Korea K3 League · 03/10, 07:00

Prediction: Yeoju vs Jeonbuk Motors II

Team pages: Yeoju · Jeonbuk Motors II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

Yeoju1.66

Jeonbuk Motors II0.99

1X2

53% 25% 22%

Yeoju Draw Jeonbuk Motors II

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Yeoju 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWDLDWLLL

Jeonbuk Motors II 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

LDLDLLDLLL

Head-to-head

Yeoju 4–1–1 Jeonbuk Motors II (6 last)

Jeonbuk Motors II2-0Yeoju
Jeonbuk Motors II0-1Yeoju
Jeonbuk Motors II2-4Yeoju
Yeoju2-0Jeonbuk Motors II
Yeoju3-3Jeonbuk Motors II
Jeonbuk Motors II0-1Yeoju

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yeoju 1499 · Jeonbuk Motors II 1401

	Yeoju	Draw	Jeonbuk Motors II
Our model	52%	27%	21%
Market	53%	24%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yeoju (rating 1499 vs 1401).
H2H favours Yeoju: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yeoju	Jeonbuk Motors II
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.1	0.8 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 2.8	1.1 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.70

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.93

2 (+0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.70▼	Pinn 1.79 ★
X	3.60 → 3.70▲	Bet365 3.70
2	3.60 → 4.00▲	Pinn 4.08

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.9% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
06:35 +38’	1.80	3.60	3.60
09:06 +6’	1.70▼	3.70▲	4.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:02 +10’	1.79	3.46	4.08

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Yeoju 4–1–1 Jeonbuk Motors II

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 South Korea K3 League	Jeonbuk Motors II	2-0 HT 2-0	Yeoju
05/05/26 South Korea League Cup	Jeonbuk Motors II	0-1 HT 0-1	Yeoju
19/10/25 South Korea K3 League	Jeonbuk Motors II	2-4 HT 1-0	Yeoju
26/04/25 South Korea K3 League	Yeoju	2-0 HT 0-0	Jeonbuk Motors II
22/10/23 South Korea K4 League	Yeoju	3-3 HT 0-0	Jeonbuk Motors II
03/06/23 South Korea K4 League	Jeonbuk Motors II	0-1 HT 0-1	Yeoju

Standings · South Korea K3 League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Siheung City AC	22	16	4	2	35	19	52
2	Pocheon Citizen FC	22	13	6	3	38	19	45
3	Daejeon Korail	22	11	5	6	31	17	38
4	Busan Trans Corp	22	10	7	5	39	26	37
5	Gyeongju HNP	22	8	8	6	32	29	32
6	Dangjin Citizen FC	22	9	4	9	44	36	31
7	Chuncheon FC	22	8	5	9	39	35	29
8	Ulsan Citizen FC	22	8	4	10	23	24	28
9	Gangneung City	22	7	6	9	20	30	27
10	Changwon City	22	6	8	8	24	27	26
11	Yeoju	22	6	7	9	24	28	25
12	Mokpo City	22	4	9	9	19	35	21
13	Yangpyeong FC	22	3	8	11	27	43	17
14	Jeonbuk Motors II	22	1	7	14	22	49	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yeoju	Jeonbuk Motors II
Mokpo City	0-1 L	1-3 L
Dangjin Citizen FC	2-1 W	0-2 L
Gangneung City	1-1 D	1-2 L
Ulsan Citizen FC	0-1 L	0-1 L
Changwon City	2-2 D	1-1 D
Yangpyeong FC	2-1 W	2-5 L
Siheung City AC	0-1 L	1-1 D
Daejeon Korail	1-0 W	0-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Yeoju (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yeoju

WLWDLDWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-2	1	3	L
06/09	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
30/08	Mokpo City South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
22/08	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
25/07	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
10/07	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
27/06	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	0-1	2-2	3	1	D
20/06	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	2-1	2	9	W
07/06	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
31/05	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-0	2	4	W

Jeonbuk Motors II

LDLDLLDLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Mokpo City South Korea K3 League	1-1	1-3	0	2	L
29/08	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-2	1	5	L
23/08	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
26/07	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	1-1	1-1	2	0	D
18/07	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
12/07	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	1-2	2-5	2	5	L
27/06	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
20/06	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	0-1	0-4	4	3	L
06/06	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-1	2	2	D
30/05	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-2	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yeoju vs Jeonbuk Motors II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Yeoju win (53%). Probabilities: Yeoju 53%, draw 25%, Jeonbuk Motors II 22%.

How many goals are expected in Yeoju vs Jeonbuk Motors II?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Yeoju 1.66 · Jeonbuk Motors II 0.99), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Yeoju vs Jeonbuk Motors II?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.